{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a64fbc18-3355-4c65-94e8-5f31e94015dc", "symbol": "2468", "name": "Fortune Information Systems Corp", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 94.948, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.988, "architecture_energy": 28.818, "architecture_maturity": 21.521, "architecture_confidence": 94.127, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.11, "rotation_up": 13.98, "upward_expansion": 3.19, "deceleration": 46.02, "rotation_down": 50.46, "downward_expansion": 74.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.483332, 35.176363, 35.516905, 35.601505 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.349998, "trend_reference": 36.035, "distance_from_trend": -0.019009, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.130411, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.0216, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -40.502186, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.02751, "excess_performance": -0.468882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019009, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05581, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.0216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071778, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.405022, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153176, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.756523, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2355895, "relative_activity": 0.455696, "balance": 0.756523, "dry_up": 0.484176, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138396, "annualized_volatility": 0.536444, "from_high_reference": -0.460421, "from_low_reference": 0.1312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.035, "fair_value_reference": 36.130411, "structural_low": 31.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.010154, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.669202, "worst_return": -0.102215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.000933, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.063188, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 2.127789, "worst_return": -0.059625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.176517, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.129115, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.227181, "worst_return": -0.115512, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 6330070.15, "trend": 36.756667, "fair_value": 36.015767, "relative_strength": -42.197778, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.795774, "energy": 15.953987, "activity_lines": [ 35.7, 36.424546, 35.927619, 36.04914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.5, "volume": 4093200, "typical_volume": 5773355.1, "trend": 36.428334, "fair_value": 36.042108, "relative_strength": -44.322273, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.925337, "energy": 26.695104, "activity_lines": [ 34.563333, 35.696364, 35.605953, 35.774516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.599998, "volume": 2120510, "typical_volume": 5202471.1, "trend": 36.203334, "fair_value": 36.082209, "relative_strength": -40.926915, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.675687, "energy": 30.066703, "activity_lines": [ 34.259999, 35.380909, 35.512857, 35.656559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 35.349998, "volume": 2355895, "typical_volume": 5169882.1, "trend": 36.035, "fair_value": 36.130411, "relative_strength": -40.502186, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.987609, "energy": 28.818265, "activity_lines": [ 34.483332, 35.176363, 35.516905, 35.601505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }