{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a653b8c3-a172-4936-be4d-498031a0a89e", "symbol": "PREV-B", "name": "Prevas AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.177, "architecture_energy": 65.014, "architecture_maturity": 29.805, "architecture_confidence": 86.227, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.85, "rotation_up": 13.41, "upward_expansion": 16.22, "deceleration": 35.28, "rotation_down": 66.23, "downward_expansion": 84.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.006668, 72.696364, 75.011081, 76.568564 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 73.5, "trend_reference": 79.250626, "distance_from_trend": -0.072563, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 93.106555, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.210582, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.198371, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.130036, "excess_performance": -0.19153, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072563, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041358, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.210582, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022284, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.151984, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036229, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130036, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.780294, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88164, "relative_activity": 0.989028, "balance": 0.780294, "dry_up": 1.949682, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073371, "annualized_volatility": 0.352387, "from_high_reference": -0.228342, "from_low_reference": 0.211395 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 79.250626, "fair_value_reference": 93.106555, 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"trend": 81.306628, "fair_value": 93.646675, "relative_strength": -19.415226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.144224, "energy": 40.259057, "activity_lines": [ 74.406667, 75.267264, 77.036879, 78.529061 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.5, "volume": 145462, "typical_volume": 86497.25, "trend": 80.588022, "fair_value": 93.434105, "relative_strength": -20.03479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.348994, "energy": 46.213365, "activity_lines": [ 71.993334, 73.703636, 76.024409, 77.638311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.400002, "volume": 97921, "typical_volume": 87454.6, "trend": 79.893057, "fair_value": 93.254764, "relative_strength": -17.412997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.611241, "energy": 64.509141, "activity_lines": [ 70.860001, 72.825455, 75.349514, 76.981019 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.5, "volume": 88164, "typical_volume": 89142.1, "trend": 79.250626, "fair_value": 93.106555, "relative_strength": -15.198371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.176787, "energy": 65.013919, "activity_lines": [ 71.006668, 72.696364, 75.011081, 76.568564 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }