{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a667c291-7eb6-462b-a716-4b2b276396e5",
    "symbol": "EUPB",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Europe Paris-Aligned Climate UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 79.616,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.868,
    "architecture_energy": 66.812,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.2,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.359,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.6,
        "rotation_up": 57.55,
        "upward_expansion": 82.08,
        "deceleration": 63.87,
        "rotation_down": 25.73,
        "downward_expansion": 11.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.3564,
        7.321818,
        7.200138,
        7.093163
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.507,
    "trend_reference": 6.989567,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074029,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.099012,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230855,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.012516,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.084983,
    "excess_performance": -0.031679,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074029,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035144,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230855,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066348,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010125,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000493,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084983,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.03909,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1783,
      "relative_activity": 0.062897,
      "balance": 0.03909,
      "dry_up": 0.640571,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017256,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.165883,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.209831
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.989567,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.099012,
      "structural_low": 6.222,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.004454,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002003,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.064539,
        "worst_return": -0.096641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.020366,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "best_return": 0.078928,
        "worst_return": -0.045261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.01575,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.003241,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.084131,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "relative_strength": -1.193309,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 0.357818,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 32749.45,
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        "fair_value": 6.043089,
        "relative_strength": -1.799843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.107134,
        "energy": 85.312329,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 5600,
        "typical_volume": 32913.7,
        "trend": 6.928667,
        "fair_value": 6.056602,
        "relative_strength": -2.458967,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.433774,
        "energy": 82.033376,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.09379,
          7.015333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.215,
        "volume": 64829,
        "typical_volume": 32718.65,
        "trend": 6.947533,
        "fair_value": 6.069288,
        "relative_strength": -3.107303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.155652,
        "energy": 66.643455,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.251145,
          7.11909,
          7.033806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.329,
        "volume": 423,
        "typical_volume": 31689.2,
        "trend": 6.968433,
        "fair_value": 6.083608,
        "relative_strength": -2.341978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.932901,
        "energy": 55.582239,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.290667,
          7.272509,
          7.152781,
          7.058417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.507,
        "volume": 1783,
        "typical_volume": 28347.75,
        "trend": 6.989567,
        "fair_value": 6.099012,
        "relative_strength": -1.012516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.867505,
        "energy": 66.81212,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.321818,
          7.200138,
          7.093163
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}