{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a66e69d7-dbfa-47af-bfd6-d3a8438c9755", "symbol": "5531", "name": "Shining Building Business Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.802, "architecture_energy": 56.873, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.76, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 18.79, "upward_expansion": 9.72, "deceleration": 43.5, "rotation_down": 63.23, "downward_expansion": 85.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.66, 7.780364, 7.919333, 8.124817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.45, "trend_reference": 8.4, "distance_from_trend": -0.113095, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.863141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.244663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.393442, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.174058, "excess_performance": -0.61543, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113095, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047043, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.244663, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.403934, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01743, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.174058, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087446, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3863053, "relative_activity": 1.323039, "balance": 1.087446, "dry_up": 0.893012, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056273, "annualized_volatility": 0.173282, "from_high_reference": -0.250503, "from_low_reference": 0.01776 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.4, "fair_value_reference": 9.863141, "structural_low": 7.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.013333, "positive_rate": 0.314286, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": -0.023032, "regime_survival": 0.828571, "best_return": 0.466667, "worst_return": -0.094595, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.006529, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.035201, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.214286, "worst_return": -0.117581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.012903, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.064004, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.081319, "worst_return": -0.142546, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.206751, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.061475, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.168033, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023697, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009615, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009709, 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.86, "volume": 2910001, "typical_volume": 2881593.85, "trend": 8.496333, "fair_value": 9.896731, "relative_strength": -35.451722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.511057, "energy": 40.403258, "activity_lines": [ 7.833333, 7.912182, 8.039714, 8.240258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.71, "volume": 1760803, "typical_volume": 2821986.15, "trend": 8.453, "fair_value": 9.880769, "relative_strength": -37.224747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.268931, "energy": 47.431369, "activity_lines": [ 7.776667, 7.870545, 7.988905, 8.189527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.45, "volume": 3863053, "typical_volume": 2919833.45, "trend": 8.4, "fair_value": 9.863141, "relative_strength": -40.393442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.802304, "energy": 56.872693, "activity_lines": [ 7.66, 7.780364, 7.919333, 8.124817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }