{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a66ee7d7-f5e1-4999-8a25-1708d1dfb9a4", "symbol": "QHOP", "name": "Quality Hospitality Leasehold Property Fund", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.776, "architecture_energy": 37.588, "architecture_maturity": 63.794, "architecture_confidence": 50.775, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.45, "rotation_up": 44.36, "upward_expansion": 73.18, "deceleration": 71.14, "rotation_down": 22.91, "downward_expansion": 4.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.314667, 3.296727, 3.265429, 3.205158 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.3, "trend_reference": 3.094902, "distance_from_trend": 0.06627, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.814854, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172352, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.936316, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.208553, "excess_performance": 0.016228, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06627, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080716, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.172352, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003704, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035211, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.208553, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.323492, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 77000, "relative_activity": 3.749696, "balance": 1.323492, "dry_up": 1.828585, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040093, "annualized_volatility": 0.241037, "from_high_reference": -0.029412, "from_low_reference": 0.450263 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.094902, "fair_value_reference": 2.814854, "structural_low": 2.62, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.000664, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00811, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.170732, "worst_return": -0.095238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.006655, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.081301, "worst_return": -0.10929, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056377, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.088244, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.141791, "worst_return": -0.224044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"volume": 39200, "typical_volume": 34770.0, "trend": 2.993249, "fair_value": 2.790877, "relative_strength": -2.516904, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.379051, "energy": 49.549766, "activity_lines": [ 3.268, 3.259273, 3.211048, 3.131127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.38, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 29225.0, "trend": 3.020966, "fair_value": 2.796706, "relative_strength": -2.486423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.125835, "energy": 52.288475, "activity_lines": [ 3.309333, 3.282545, 3.232857, 3.156078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.3, "volume": 71600, "typical_volume": 29770.0, "trend": 3.046623, "fair_value": 2.802462, "relative_strength": -4.56123, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.380398, "energy": 44.63883, "activity_lines": [ 3.314667, 3.288, 3.24581, 3.17408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.3, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 27960.0, "trend": 3.071673, "fair_value": 2.808438, "relative_strength": -2.991964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.685539, "energy": 43.859708, "activity_lines": [ 3.317333, 3.292727, 3.256667, 3.190427 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.3, "volume": 77000, "typical_volume": 20535.0, "trend": 3.094902, "fair_value": 2.814854, "relative_strength": -1.936316, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.775838, "energy": 37.587876, "activity_lines": [ 3.314667, 3.296727, 3.265429, 3.205158 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }