{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a678f27a-93d0-4d1f-a734-bd7d493305e0", "symbol": "688048", "name": "Suzhou Everbright Photonics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.822, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.845, "architecture_energy": 24.807, "architecture_maturity": 45.989, "architecture_confidence": 75.523, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.32, "rotation_up": 19.66, "upward_expansion": 47.58, "deceleration": 80.47, "rotation_down": 47.61, "downward_expansion": 36.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 288.911332, 329.587092, 350.245144, 325.120388 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 285.519989, "trend_reference": 279.141667, "distance_from_trend": 0.02285, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 99.042821, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.882793, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 45.1988, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.192934, "excess_performance": 1.236138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02285, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.395741, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.882793, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.888028, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.451988, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.871437, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.192934, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843928, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85845908, "relative_activity": 1.429018, "balance": 0.843928, "dry_up": 1.27294, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.265715, "annualized_volatility": 1.012517, "from_high_reference": -0.436511, "from_low_reference": 3.491427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 279.141667, "fair_value_reference": 99.042821, "structural_low": 122.010002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.112601, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.082475, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.574373, "worst_return": -0.127496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.619395, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.611234, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.146134, "worst_return": 0.00877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.080762, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.007097, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.835328, "worst_return": 0.326196, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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369.928239, 325.645011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 289.51001, "volume": 80230463, "typical_volume": 59572072.1, "trend": 270.928001, "fair_value": 96.866667, "relative_strength": 57.859329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.225195, "energy": 15.662152, "activity_lines": [ 357.759336, 369.91182, 365.971573, 327.17398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 227.380005, "volume": 72260690, "typical_volume": 59699650.35, "trend": 273.802668, "fair_value": 97.743334, "relative_strength": 21.358575, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -9.669994, "energy": 19.037259, "activity_lines": [ 308.02467, 343.112003, 355.469145, 324.364432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 285.519989, "volume": 85845908, "typical_volume": 60073338.65, "trend": 279.141667, "fair_value": 99.042821, "relative_strength": 45.1988, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.845436, "energy": 24.80739, "activity_lines": [ 288.911332, 329.587092, 350.245144, 325.120388 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }