{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a67aab98-b531-4fc4-8ab9-b2c460727a18", "symbol": "MGC", "name": "VANGUARD WORLD FUND MEGA CAP 300 INDEX-ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.913, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.073, "architecture_energy": 52.323, "architecture_maturity": 50.834, "architecture_confidence": 80.173, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.5, "rotation_up": 54.6, "upward_expansion": 80.39, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 25.36, "downward_expansion": 7.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 276.084, 274.231633, 271.680735, 266.120959 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 283.77, "trend_reference": 259.877602, "distance_from_trend": 0.091937, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 211.117409, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.344134, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.040938, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129351, "excess_performance": 0.003726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091937, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0317, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.344134, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000409, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002881, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129351, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.4156, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 455351, "relative_activity": 0.799581, "balance": 2.4156, "dry_up": 0.75081, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027157, "annualized_volatility": 0.155206, "from_high_reference": -0.003896, "from_low_reference": 0.242616 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 259.877602, "fair_value_reference": 211.117409, "structural_low": 228.365, 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"fair_value": 208.776275, "relative_strength": -0.221198, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.425275, "energy": 43.504064, "activity_lines": [ 272.867368, 272.56247, 267.875847, 262.765322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 269.78, "volume": 399682, "typical_volume": 658444.4, "trend": 258.127303, "fair_value": 209.503729, "relative_strength": -0.469206, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.615121, "energy": 38.820256, "activity_lines": [ 271.969333, 272.049002, 268.728353, 263.552524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 273.05, "volume": 447444, "typical_volume": 578658.15, "trend": 258.881945, "fair_value": 210.274783, "relative_strength": -0.356677, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.233779, "energy": 40.304122, "activity_lines": [ 272.454667, 272.161298, 269.770807, 264.515279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 283.77, "volume": 455351, "typical_volume": 569487.05, "trend": 259.877602, "fair_value": 211.117409, "relative_strength": 0.040938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.07309, "energy": 52.32269, "activity_lines": [ 276.084, 274.231633, 271.680735, 266.120959 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }