{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a67e01f6-440f-4bd9-8a2a-556711aeccf9", "symbol": "TRDA", "name": "Entrada Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.504, "architecture_energy": 73.856, "architecture_maturity": 54.326, "architecture_confidence": 93.002, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.97, "rotation_up": 28.2, "upward_expansion": 19.1, "deceleration": 37.64, "rotation_down": 48.59, "downward_expansion": 90.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.650667, 6.845091, 7.509429, 8.545505 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.87, "trend_reference": 9.68, "distance_from_trend": -0.290289, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.041859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.42949, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.524004, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.351887, "excess_performance": -0.53934, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.290289, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094198, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.42949, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032812, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.32524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030093, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.351887, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.985445, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2483213, "relative_activity": 1.324397, "balance": 0.985445, "dry_up": 1.239482, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14668, "annualized_volatility": 1.201758, "from_high_reference": -0.582371, "from_low_reference": 0.393509 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.68, "fair_value_reference": 12.041859, "structural_low": 5.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.007225, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.003807, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.49063, "worst_return": -0.262767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.058827, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.078977, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.331407, "worst_return": -0.380668, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.173709, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.075055, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.042389, "worst_return": -0.598918, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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8.891762, 9.63628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.92, "volume": 2158712, "typical_volume": 1647537.75, "trend": 10.182, "fair_value": 12.289295, "relative_strength": -32.681822, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.84062, "energy": 36.621303, "activity_lines": [ 7.289333, 7.061818, 8.59019, 9.416882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.89, "volume": 1918022, "typical_volume": 1692665.75, "trend": 10.045667, "fair_value": 12.224103, "relative_strength": -29.942216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.438364, "energy": 35.022667, "activity_lines": [ 7.190667, 7.057273, 8.306571, 9.204495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.85, "volume": 2619478, "typical_volume": 1740101.85, "trend": 9.893667, "fair_value": 12.150833, "relative_strength": -39.301116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.756281, "energy": 46.766836, "activity_lines": [ 6.716667, 6.862727, 7.947905, 8.933806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.79, "volume": 2275282, "typical_volume": 1802700.5, "trend": 9.785, "fair_value": 12.103013, "relative_strength": -29.871468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.553114, "energy": 43.972235, "activity_lines": [ 6.638667, 6.848727, 7.71081, 8.73357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.87, "volume": 2483213, "typical_volume": 1874976.3, "trend": 9.68, "fair_value": 12.041859, "relative_strength": -32.524004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.504052, "energy": 73.855508, "activity_lines": [ 6.650667, 6.845091, 7.509429, 8.545505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }