{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a6ab708f-0025-43c2-a164-bafa4475e8c2",
    "symbol": "EVAX",
    "name": "Evaxion Biotech AS",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.082,
    "architecture_energy": 60.963,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.636,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.887,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.7,
        "rotation_up": 16.72,
        "upward_expansion": 12.85,
        "deceleration": 40.15,
        "rotation_down": 61.47,
        "downward_expansion": 86.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.998667,
        3.090818,
        3.405833,
        3.52214
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.1,
    "trend_reference": 3.627667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.145456,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.601326,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.753994,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -34.683078,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.077381,
    "excess_performance": -0.264835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145456,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169237,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.753994,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002767,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.346831,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.28088,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077381,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.539476,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 42945,
      "relative_activity": 0.352217,
      "balance": 0.539476,
      "dry_up": 0.513152,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.13977,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.675191,
      "from_high_reference": -0.744854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.230159
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.627667,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.601326,
      "structural_low": 2.77,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.066584,
        "positive_rate": 0.322581,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.677419,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096022,
        "regime_survival": 0.870968,
        "best_return": 1.100671,
        "worst_return": -0.460145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.181818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.818182,
        "median_excess_return": -0.286021,
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        "best_return": 0.653842,
        "worst_return": -0.654167,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.565235,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.845053,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.880105,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "typical_volume": 281931.85,
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.069922,
        "energy": 14.643932,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 4.485333,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 10.598099,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 199243.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 180321.0,
        "trend": 4.211667,
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        "relative_strength": -23.589866,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -33.767697,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.834553,
        "energy": 65.245401,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.311333,
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          3.822645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 100211,
        "typical_volume": 144373.6,
        "trend": 3.9845,
        "fair_value": 14.433858,
        "relative_strength": -27.631916,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.870906,
        "energy": 60.548904,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.17,
        "volume": 74322,
        "typical_volume": 144362.0,
        "trend": 3.883167,
        "fair_value": 14.050333,
        "relative_strength": -33.836166,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.651993,
        "energy": 64.320221,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.233333,
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          3.687476,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.075,
        "volume": 92663,
        "typical_volume": 143546.65,
        "trend": 3.829,
        "fair_value": 13.672608,
        "relative_strength": -32.978488,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.186505,
        "energy": 60.187254,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.167667,
          3.326727,
          3.622643,
          3.676935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 44429,
        "typical_volume": 138508.4,
        "trend": 3.756667,
        "fair_value": 13.284531,
        "relative_strength": -34.343818,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.811611,
        "energy": 56.971761,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.101333,
          3.228818,
          3.547262,
          3.620871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.82,
        "volume": 70233,
        "typical_volume": 128293.45,
        "trend": 3.693667,
        "fair_value": 12.921198,
        "relative_strength": -37.676309,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.62768,
        "energy": 67.1518,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.994333,
          3.122909,
          3.459786,
          3.560441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.1,
        "volume": 42945,
        "typical_volume": 121927.7,
        "trend": 3.627667,
        "fair_value": 12.601326,
        "relative_strength": -34.683078,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.081892,
        "energy": 60.962984,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.998667,
          3.090818,
          3.405833,
          3.52214
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}