{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6b99acc-07f8-49c2-8f62-e79aaee7d7f7", "symbol": "SHRADHA", "name": "Shradha Realty Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.483, "architecture_energy": 16.159, "architecture_maturity": 47.078, "architecture_confidence": 71.673, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.35, "rotation_up": 27.1, "upward_expansion": 22.83, "deceleration": 41.88, "rotation_down": 36.5, "downward_expansion": 54.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.510667, 34.390728, 34.831429, 35.009699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.220001, "trend_reference": 35.694333, "distance_from_trend": -0.041304, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.050448, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.256902, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.677106, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.09399, "excess_performance": -0.050281, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041304, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058462, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.256902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079918, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146771, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07094, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.09399, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.832592, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 182533, "relative_activity": 0.778239, "balance": 6.832592, "dry_up": 4.103164, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099042, "annualized_volatility": 0.538311, "from_high_reference": -0.507626, "from_low_reference": 0.299165 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.694333, "fair_value_reference": 46.050448, "structural_low": 26.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.015676, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.018198, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.216357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.05514, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.074371, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.501048, "worst_return": -0.323104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035514, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032712, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.113649, "worst_return": -0.418413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.115556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.344522, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.203485, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.058298, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.348255, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.089401, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.235612, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078625, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.154807, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.051289, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 18.482241, "volume": 37512, "typical_volume": 300418.05, "trend": 18.194019, "fair_value": 11.905877, "relative_strength": 8.754939, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -60.987316, "energy": 46.803752, "activity_lines": [ 33.486001, 34.025637, 34.758333, 35.261914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.139999, "volume": 3279359, "typical_volume": 225117.25, "trend": 36.074333, "fair_value": 45.731374, "relative_strength": -10.051021, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.303385, "energy": 14.082791, "activity_lines": [ 34.600667, 34.507273, 34.980905, 35.325505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.790001, "volume": 288721, "typical_volume": 227527.85, "trend": 35.903333, "fair_value": 45.840346, "relative_strength": -12.477887, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.610672, "energy": 14.430598, "activity_lines": [ 34.726, 34.555455, 34.982714, 35.242645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.860001, "volume": 98911, "typical_volume": 227408.45, "trend": 35.787333, "fair_value": 45.945384, "relative_strength": -15.937996, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.864576, "energy": 15.214221, "activity_lines": [ 34.554667, 34.434182, 34.895762, 35.110817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.220001, "volume": 182533, "typical_volume": 234546.1, "trend": 35.694333, "fair_value": 46.050448, "relative_strength": -14.677106, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.483403, "energy": 16.158555, "activity_lines": [ 34.510667, 34.390728, 34.831429, 35.009699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }