{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6c31c95-1270-44db-9933-a72e0bab8cd5", "symbol": "600641", "name": "Shanghai Vital Deeptech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.159, "architecture_energy": 26.991, "architecture_maturity": 73.862, "architecture_confidence": 90.615, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.82, "rotation_up": 24.01, "upward_expansion": 57.28, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 39.69, "downward_expansion": 20.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.601334, 33.563091, 31.803714, 29.189333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 31.280001, "trend_reference": 25.834667, "distance_from_trend": 0.210776, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.883746, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.85267, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 41.610437, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.651531, "excess_performance": 0.694735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.210776, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.267752, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.85267, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037216, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.416104, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075509, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.651531, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649563, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 440630176, "relative_activity": 1.625476, "balance": 0.649563, "dry_up": 1.412698, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.211317, "annualized_volatility": 0.822974, "from_high_reference": -0.386546, "from_low_reference": 1.185884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.834667, "fair_value_reference": 16.883746, "structural_low": 16.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.001317, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.015835, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.183486, "worst_return": -0.249474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.091398, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.096618, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.196175, "worst_return": -0.40006, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.018783, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061063, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.65947, "worst_return": -0.414187, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.65079, "energy": 74.505255, "activity_lines": [ 38.94, 35.729818, 31.512666, 28.368968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.52, "volume": 378064171, "typical_volume": 246399041.05, "trend": 25.093333, "fair_value": 16.747347, "relative_strength": 46.002502, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.725107, "energy": 50.960508, "activity_lines": [ 36.174666, 35.243091, 31.780714, 28.749548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.01, "volume": 342418852, "typical_volume": 257447655.1, "trend": 25.38, "fair_value": 16.796069, "relative_strength": 22.69791, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.400163, "energy": 18.583044, "activity_lines": [ 32.101333, 33.906545, 31.559428, 28.808688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.280001, "volume": 440630176, "typical_volume": 271077626.35, "trend": 25.834667, "fair_value": 16.883746, "relative_strength": 41.610437, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.159035, "energy": 26.990962, "activity_lines": [ 30.601334, 33.563091, 31.803714, 29.189333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }