{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6c44b2e-2baa-453a-b2f6-7720f98ce438", "symbol": "SHAKTIPUMP", "name": "Shakti Pumps (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.962, "architecture_energy": 29.787, "architecture_maturity": 29.971, "architecture_confidence": 60.324, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.24, "rotation_up": 10.67, "upward_expansion": 18.9, "deceleration": 62.74, "rotation_down": 59.33, "downward_expansion": 58.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 532.441935, 545.427085, 543.128676, 540.93345 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 516.299988, "trend_reference": 551.841276, "distance_from_trend": -0.064405, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 607.060353, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.149508, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.132582, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.170336, "excess_performance": -0.126627, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.064405, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085227, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.149508, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113748, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191326, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035233, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.170336, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.743928, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1559945, "relative_activity": 0.342115, "balance": 1.743928, "dry_up": 0.486376, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061405, "annualized_volatility": 0.363014, "from_high_reference": -0.435095, "from_low_reference": 0.131368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 551.841276, "fair_value_reference": 607.060353, "structural_low": 456.350006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.038266, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.04323, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.396164, "worst_return": -0.136809, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.05039, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.076833, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.38438, "worst_return": -0.226683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.136107, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.150918, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.022617, 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607.060353, "relative_strength": -19.132582, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.96222, "energy": 29.787083, "activity_lines": [ 532.441935, 545.427085, 543.128676, 540.93345 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }