{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6ca5cc2-c093-4926-a4a8-5ab9fbb7f221", "symbol": "LUMAXIND", "name": "Lumax Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 52.718, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 30.283, "architecture_energy": 14.887, "architecture_maturity": 48.773, "architecture_confidence": 82.78, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.34, "rotation_up": 35.99, "upward_expansion": 30.97, "deceleration": 43.02, "rotation_down": 32.99, "downward_expansion": 23.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 5385.280663, 5329.703357, 5350.379214, 5345.924269 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5791.5, "trend_reference": 5339.439831, "distance_from_trend": 0.084664, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3414.753871, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.696023, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.295765, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.180349, "excess_performance": 0.224058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084664, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000469, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.696023, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.132958, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152833, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.180349, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.026238, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 187815, "relative_activity": 2.819755, "balance": 1.026238, "dry_up": 1.285127, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058631, "annualized_volatility": 0.557413, "from_high_reference": -0.164828, "from_low_reference": 0.768937 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5339.439831, "fair_value_reference": 3414.753871, "structural_low": 4620.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.021357, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.033803, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.144982, "worst_return": -0.052463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.173929, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.194088, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.369136, "worst_return": 0.005469, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.221417, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.185283, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.937698, "worst_return": 0.00367, 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"energy": 34.706131, "activity_lines": [ 5193.726992, 5239.061447, 5302.352525, 5316.073075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5791.5, "volume": 187815, "typical_volume": 66606.85, "trend": 5339.439831, "fair_value": 3414.753871, "relative_strength": 13.295765, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.283018, "energy": 14.887454, "activity_lines": [ 5385.280663, 5329.703357, 5350.379214, 5345.924269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }