{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6d945bb-da62-4c3b-881e-acd6a985d3fc", "symbol": "CRLO", "name": "Caisse R\u00e9gionale de Cr\u00e9dit Agricole Mutuel Loire Haute-Loire Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 coop\u00e9rative", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 71.716, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.124, "architecture_energy": 40.677, "architecture_maturity": 5.357, "architecture_confidence": 66.227, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.17, "rotation_up": 14.12, "upward_expansion": 19.37, "deceleration": 58.4, "rotation_down": 67.85, "downward_expansion": 46.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.425333, 104.094544, 107.130833, 105.555969 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 99.5, "trend_reference": 103.858569, "distance_from_trend": -0.041966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.461899, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.373135, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.020129, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015306, "excess_performance": -0.038005, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041966, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051215, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.373135, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.070201, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207521, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015306, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.786018, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1267, "relative_activity": 0.468565, "balance": 1.786018, "dry_up": 1.17132, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074504, "annualized_volatility": 0.311436, "from_high_reference": -0.222656, "from_low_reference": 0.206061 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.858569, "fair_value_reference": 72.461899, "structural_low": 90.825005, "invalidation": "A 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"gate": "up", "direction": 21.813356, "energy": 20.25377, "activity_lines": [ 110.455998, 114.035349, 109.53792, 106.705621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.519997, "volume": 1144, "typical_volume": 2361.0, "trend": 103.670235, "fair_value": 71.630084, "relative_strength": -2.38991, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.999862, "energy": 22.349016, "activity_lines": [ 105.847998, 111.378883, 108.968601, 106.453756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.0, "volume": 6746, "typical_volume": 2655.35, "trend": 103.836902, "fair_value": 71.913288, "relative_strength": -2.606032, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.154703, "energy": 33.60735, "activity_lines": [ 102.698665, 108.9041, 108.448043, 106.216967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.0, "volume": 3512, "typical_volume": 2759.9, "trend": 103.908569, "fair_value": 72.184262, "relative_strength": -6.180624, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.853876, "energy": 39.908738, "activity_lines": [ 100.149332, 106.184032, 107.720391, 105.840393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.5, "volume": 1267, "typical_volume": 2704.0, "trend": 103.858569, "fair_value": 72.461899, "relative_strength": -7.020129, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.123643, "energy": 40.677292, "activity_lines": [ 99.425333, 104.094544, 107.130833, 105.555969 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }