{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6ebe992-8cc3-4266-84d6-05fbe4364f59", "symbol": "7773", "name": "FullHope", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.435, "architecture_energy": 36.943, "architecture_maturity": 26.975, "architecture_confidence": 80.975, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.46, "rotation_up": 10.29, "upward_expansion": 12.46, "deceleration": 49.16, "rotation_down": 61.16, "downward_expansion": 76.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.846667, 27.257273, 27.893095, 27.840538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.1, "trend_reference": 28.146667, "distance_from_trend": -0.037186, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.084536, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.248986, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.252423, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.121556, "excess_performance": -0.562928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037186, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060107, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.248986, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001621, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.402524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045574, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.121556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.834379, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20343, "relative_activity": 0.088586, "balance": 0.834379, "dry_up": 0.459133, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082742, "annualized_volatility": 0.419653, "from_high_reference": -0.455823, "from_low_reference": 0.361809 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.146667, "fair_value_reference": 36.084536, "structural_low": 19.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.057477, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.045389, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.056701, "worst_return": -0.058252, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"fair_value": 36.382979, "relative_strength": -39.65158, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.302771, "energy": 27.99331, "activity_lines": [ 27.48, 28.225455, 28.149524, 28.162903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.85, "volume": 160017, "typical_volume": 241552.85, "trend": 28.385, "fair_value": 36.282631, "relative_strength": -39.239743, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.423361, "energy": 35.482488, "activity_lines": [ 27.17, 27.845455, 28.073333, 28.052366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.25, "volume": 81521, "typical_volume": 239169.3, "trend": 28.248333, "fair_value": 36.178125, "relative_strength": -41.064347, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.400253, "energy": 45.234039, "activity_lines": [ 26.81, 27.431818, 27.939762, 27.914624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.1, "volume": 20343, "typical_volume": 229641.1, "trend": 28.146667, "fair_value": 36.084536, "relative_strength": -40.252423, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.434955, "energy": 36.942738, "activity_lines": [ 26.846667, 27.257273, 27.893095, 27.840538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }