{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6f3f4f1-6a2e-4d52-9225-189d1a8c354e", "symbol": "EMBDL", "name": "Embassy Developments Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.493, "architecture_energy": 21.877, "architecture_maturity": 30.544, "architecture_confidence": 66.721, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.43, "rotation_up": 33.57, "upward_expansion": 59.49, "deceleration": 78.02, "rotation_down": 25.62, "downward_expansion": 18.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.380667, 62.584182, 61.281428, 59.574473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 63.040001, "trend_reference": 59.017333, "distance_from_trend": 0.068161, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 99.597885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.367055, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.896262, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.073214, "excess_performance": -0.029505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068161, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05612, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.367055, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068816, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088963, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.073214, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.899276, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9342703, "relative_activity": 1.050354, "balance": 0.899276, "dry_up": 1.032074, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074666, "annualized_volatility": 0.762149, "from_high_reference": -0.403595, "from_low_reference": 0.597567 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.017333, "fair_value_reference": 99.597885, "structural_low": 39.459999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.017428, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.019036, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.213692, "worst_return": -0.19324, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.019717, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.023123, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.452568, "worst_return": -0.388956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.034351, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.098835, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.481208, "worst_return": 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59.234666, "fair_value": 99.726859, "relative_strength": -7.37216, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.692925, "energy": 43.563989, "activity_lines": [ 63.849999, 62.884727, 59.355523, 58.800666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.040001, "volume": 11600572, "typical_volume": 9220018.05, "trend": 59.048333, "fair_value": 99.704359, "relative_strength": -11.049486, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.6969, "energy": 38.533352, "activity_lines": [ 63.918666, 62.799818, 59.955047, 59.046172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.209999, "volume": 8773143, "typical_volume": 9393855.65, "trend": 59.000666, "fair_value": 99.656987, "relative_strength": -10.417992, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.310886, "energy": 33.314956, "activity_lines": [ 63.111999, 62.508363, 60.367762, 59.185634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.139999, "volume": 7004005, "typical_volume": 9208583.65, "trend": 59.152333, "fair_value": 99.605, "relative_strength": -11.788639, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.285736, "energy": 22.423554, "activity_lines": [ 62.343999, 62.368363, 60.755333, 59.323656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.040001, "volume": 9342703, "typical_volume": 8894810.75, "trend": 59.017333, "fair_value": 99.597885, "relative_strength": -8.896262, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.492986, "energy": 21.876841, "activity_lines": [ 62.380667, 62.584182, 61.281428, 59.574473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }