{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a6ff0aca-3138-4969-b113-580c08bc46dd", "symbol": "WIW", "name": "Western Asset Inflation-Linked Opportunities & Income Fund", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.17, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.977, "architecture_energy": 26.065, "architecture_maturity": 4.067, "architecture_confidence": 93.502, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.63, "rotation_up": 20.16, "upward_expansion": 4.96, "deceleration": 45.57, "rotation_down": 48.66, "downward_expansion": 75.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.318782, 8.323484, 8.349278, 8.360327 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.38, "trend_reference": 8.373, "distance_from_trend": 0.000836, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.691179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.08956, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.845522, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.00127, "excess_performance": -0.126895, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000836, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000114, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.08956, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023245, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108455, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012345, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.00127, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.725137, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1759852, "relative_activity": 1.344968, "balance": 0.725137, "dry_up": 0.919449, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012107, "annualized_volatility": 0.057128, "from_high_reference": -0.018871, "from_low_reference": 0.029827 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.373, "fair_value_reference": 7.691179, "structural_low": 8.208339, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.009421, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.000172, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.064608, "worst_return": -0.063906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030929, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.01467, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.052634, "worst_return": -0.066786, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.018724, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.038839, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038539, "worst_return": -0.0955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.766535, "energy": 32.288976, "activity_lines": [ 8.33409, 8.355377, 8.369069, 8.375186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.317294, "volume": 907901, "typical_volume": 1289118.65, "trend": 8.36952, "fair_value": 7.664935, "relative_strength": -8.810036, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.203285, "energy": 34.154529, "activity_lines": [ 8.326354, 8.345788, 8.363426, 8.37194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.29, "volume": 1194604, "typical_volume": 1286027.65, "trend": 8.370442, "fair_value": 7.673405, "relative_strength": -8.336933, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.829737, "energy": 47.032756, "activity_lines": [ 8.314813, 8.333167, 8.356147, 8.36681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.26, "volume": 949935, "typical_volume": 1275528.9, "trend": 8.370042, "fair_value": 7.681483, "relative_strength": -9.350063, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.387552, "energy": 51.885143, "activity_lines": [ 8.294226, 8.316445, 8.346869, 8.359684 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.38, "volume": 1759852, "typical_volume": 1308471.3, "trend": 8.373, "fair_value": 7.691179, "relative_strength": -10.845522, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.976549, "energy": 26.065277, "activity_lines": [ 8.318782, 8.323484, 8.349278, 8.360327 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }