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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.77, "architecture_energy": 42.382, "architecture_maturity": 89.709, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.87, "rotation_up": 33.31, "upward_expansion": 66.01, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 27.86, "downward_expansion": 20.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 3740.022461, 3770.189813, 3663.36837, 3510.139275 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3700.469971, "trend_reference": 3337.18361, "distance_from_trend": 0.10886, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2390.743644, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.547832, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.601802, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.210464, "excess_performance": 0.265131, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10886, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068036, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.547832, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053632, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.136018, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112721, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.210464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.453787, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1817, "relative_activity": 0.708465, "balance": 3.453787, "dry_up": 0.492455, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03766, "annualized_volatility": 0.272474, "from_high_reference": -0.069239, "from_low_reference": 0.37899 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3337.18361, "fair_value_reference": 2390.743644, "structural_low": 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17.552693, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.367678, "energy": 61.973283, "activity_lines": [ 3813.79598, 3794.164169, 3616.091253, 3461.362486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3687.550049, "volume": 1162, "typical_volume": 3392.5, "trend": 3324.432186, "fair_value": 2376.542002, "relative_strength": 13.631527, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.335216, "energy": 54.65198, "activity_lines": [ 3765.382666, 3782.643817, 3641.348837, 3485.878773 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3700.469971, "volume": 1817, "typical_volume": 2564.7, "trend": 3337.18361, "fair_value": 2390.743644, "relative_strength": 13.601802, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.77022, "energy": 42.381887, "activity_lines": [ 3740.022461, 3770.189813, 3663.36837, 3510.139275 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }