{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a70bd2c3-bbc1-43c9-938f-05e00e562128", "symbol": "HSCS", "name": "Heart Test Laboratories Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.823, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.411, "architecture_energy": 19.134, "architecture_maturity": 36.422, "architecture_confidence": 62.096, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.08, "rotation_up": 16.89, "upward_expansion": 21.07, "deceleration": 60.59, "rotation_down": 45.75, "downward_expansion": 55.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.274, 2.381453, 2.241279, 2.277227 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.02, "trend_reference": 2.42546, "distance_from_trend": -0.167168, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.841884, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.771542, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.717924, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.324415, "excess_performance": -0.511868, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.167168, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055063, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.771542, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.357179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126646, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.324415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 52.836785, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 483193, "relative_activity": 0.067169, "balance": 52.836785, "dry_up": 0.041264, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.269318, "annualized_volatility": 0.842121, "from_high_reference": -0.485953, "from_low_reference": 0.239264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.42546, "fair_value_reference": 8.841884, "structural_low": 1.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.04484, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.067754, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.134021, "worst_return": -0.211382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.152778, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.13706, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.059016, "worst_return": -0.295374, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.129748, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.22606, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.038184, "worst_return": -0.221311, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.321839, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.071207, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.060498, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.066978, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.189591, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, 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"direction": 8.061006, "energy": 21.391193, "activity_lines": [ 2.451327, 2.197625, 2.158007, 2.307096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.74, "volume": 281702, "typical_volume": 7142788.25, "trend": 2.503793, "fair_value": 11.038487, "relative_strength": -17.646294, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.150258, "energy": 34.427329, "activity_lines": [ 2.610667, 2.319627, 2.205275, 2.322743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.69, "volume": 236982, "typical_volume": 7152534.85, "trend": 2.514793, "fair_value": 10.491628, "relative_strength": -14.513733, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.959743, "energy": 35.651795, "activity_lines": [ 2.7, 2.418902, 2.248114, 2.334757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.39, "volume": 116239, "typical_volume": 7156765.35, "trend": 2.49946, "fair_value": 9.948615, "relative_strength": -21.653703, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.687403, "energy": 35.243551, "activity_lines": [ 2.63, 2.449813, 2.262839, 2.326706 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.18, "volume": 350948, "typical_volume": 7171221.1, "trend": 2.46746, "fair_value": 9.380217, "relative_strength": -28.197866, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.399959, "energy": 12.043015, "activity_lines": [ 2.453333, 2.431996, 2.258754, 2.306095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.02, "volume": 483193, "typical_volume": 7193661.85, "trend": 2.42546, "fair_value": 8.841884, "relative_strength": -35.717924, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.411453, "energy": 19.133954, "activity_lines": [ 2.274, 2.381453, 2.241279, 2.277227 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }