{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a70ec99a-1b34-4b7e-ab6d-0e9a31073a45", "symbol": "7763", "name": "Johnson Fine", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.065, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.229, "architecture_energy": 71.713, "architecture_maturity": 26.296, "architecture_confidence": 93.112, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.46, "rotation_up": 12.26, "upward_expansion": 16.82, "deceleration": 37.56, "rotation_down": 71.05, "downward_expansion": 92.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 136.266667, 145.840854, 171.96147, 177.987609 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 142.5, "trend_reference": 178.951525, "distance_from_trend": -0.203695, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 106.943506, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332479, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.905756, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.012247, "excess_performance": -0.453619, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203695, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126327, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332479, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.947347, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.63842, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.012247, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.286885, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 267487, "relative_activity": 0.140901, "balance": 0.286885, "dry_up": 0.225859, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.203178, "annualized_volatility": 0.94991, "from_high_reference": -0.608903, "from_low_reference": 1.146971 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 178.951525, "fair_value_reference": 106.943506, "structural_low": 104.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.040404, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.113984, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.040404, "worst_return": -0.040404, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"close": 135.0, "volume": 415052, "typical_volume": 1929337.8, "trend": 179.469971, "fair_value": 106.573126, "relative_strength": -23.282666, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.393814, "energy": 63.697447, "activity_lines": [ 136.0, 149.455544, 176.624181, 180.372769 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 142.5, "volume": 267487, "typical_volume": 1898407.0, "trend": 178.951525, "fair_value": 106.943506, "relative_strength": -21.905756, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.229419, "energy": 71.713296, "activity_lines": [ 136.266667, 145.840854, 171.96147, 177.987609 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }