{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a715062f-b390-4596-93fc-f75af4ea1fb5", "symbol": "BLK", "name": "BlackRock, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 59.199, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 59.111, "architecture_energy": 78.016, "architecture_maturity": 15.014, "architecture_confidence": 73.09, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.25, "rotation_up": 80.19, "upward_expansion": 66.14, "deceleration": 21.07, "rotation_down": 18.7, "downward_expansion": 26.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 19249.265365, 18625.512216, 18344.37579, 18227.547883 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19900.0, "trend_reference": 18295.83099, "distance_from_trend": 0.087679, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17229.594013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154989, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.237529, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.096158, "excess_performance": 0.150825, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087679, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020671, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052932, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012375, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16603, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096158, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.753747, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82, "relative_activity": 1.032746, "balance": 1.753747, "dry_up": 1.738035, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031072, "annualized_volatility": 0.258709, "from_high_reference": -0.100855, "from_low_reference": 0.208478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18295.83099, "fair_value_reference": 17229.594013, "structural_low": 16467.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.012217, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036781, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.070904, "worst_return": -0.112362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.086738, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.010475, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.250942, "worst_return": -0.056826, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055358, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.087687, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.50077, "worst_return": -0.087359, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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18353.664062, 18069.137251, 18036.128116, 18063.013676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19220.0, "volume": 91, "typical_volume": 75.55, "trend": 18281.961068, "fair_value": 17177.884271, "relative_strength": -2.595036, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.439338, "energy": 47.838987, "activity_lines": [ 18759.764713, 18293.303374, 18164.032905, 18123.158274 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19900.0, "volume": 82, "typical_volume": 79.4, "trend": 18295.83099, "fair_value": 17229.594013, "relative_strength": 1.237529, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 59.111451, "energy": 78.016446, "activity_lines": [ 19249.265365, 18625.512216, 18344.37579, 18227.547883 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }