{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a71586cc-3d09-4c12-9b25-1a5a6ed8ad4e",
    "symbol": "ILCO",
    "name": "Israel Corporation Ltd",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.041,
    "architecture_energy": 25.504,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.694,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.716,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.01,
        "rotation_up": 25.31,
        "upward_expansion": 15.19,
        "deceleration": 45.57,
        "rotation_down": 32.53,
        "downward_expansion": 62.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        79.259333,
        78.308545,
        82.011394,
        83.723479
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 80.07,
    "trend_reference": 85.954377,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.068459,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 92.697537,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136223,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.647845,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.085378,
    "excess_performance": -0.114278,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068459,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035959,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136223,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.209039,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.216478,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024445,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085378,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.419406,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2429756,
      "relative_activity": 3.788847,
      "balance": 0.419406,
      "dry_up": 1.59235,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.078672,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.468979,
      "from_high_reference": -0.337031,
      "from_low_reference": 0.104109
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.954377,
      "fair_value_reference": 92.697537,
      "structural_low": 72.52,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.010514,
        "positive_rate": 0.46875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.53125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03141,
        "regime_survival": 0.84375,
        "best_return": 0.161124,
        "worst_return": -0.140149,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.077782,
        "positive_rate": 0.181818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.818182,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093883,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.197528,
        "worst_return": -0.181822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.173473,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118105,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.104382,
        "worst_return": -0.270003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.149446,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.289794,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.283529,
        "worst_return": -0.396977,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
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        "return": 0.114352,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052627,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.14729,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "close": 83.42,
        "volume": 901910,
        "typical_volume": 684623.0,
        "trend": 93.09803,
        "fair_value": 94.407399,
        "relative_strength": -38.718763,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.863266,
        "energy": 28.010102,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 655336.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 91.805734,
        "fair_value": 94.168475,
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        "energy": 37.362729,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 101.01,
        "volume": 1236370,
        "typical_volume": 655108.0,
        "trend": 91.375534,
        "fair_value": 94.154095,
        "relative_strength": -24.092358,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 654370.0,
        "trend": 90.729103,
        "fair_value": 94.056895,
        "relative_strength": -26.648964,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 613037.0,
        "trend": 89.892861,
        "fair_value": 94.001538,
        "relative_strength": -25.527118,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.745011,
        "energy": 26.26129,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 93.03,
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        "typical_volume": 607527.0,
        "trend": 89.160544,
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        "relative_strength": -26.056932,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 585278.5,
        "trend": 88.824504,
        "fair_value": 94.001116,
        "relative_strength": -25.919226,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 32.673703,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 316620,
        "typical_volume": 568038.5,
        "trend": 88.59143,
        "fair_value": 93.948563,
        "relative_strength": -27.89077,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 87.624882,
        "fair_value": 93.672312,
        "relative_strength": -31.013236,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 65.157633,
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          79.992667,
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          87.28221
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 745050,
        "typical_volume": 512163.0,
        "trend": 87.35836,
        "fair_value": 93.55164,
        "relative_strength": -29.692369,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 532675.5,
        "trend": 87.163257,
        "fair_value": 93.415516,
        "relative_strength": -29.738483,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.034595,
        "energy": 78.764309,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.423333,
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          84.236982,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 77.17,
        "volume": 446780,
        "typical_volume": 527202.0,
        "trend": 87.037457,
        "fair_value": 93.220245,
        "relative_strength": -26.82097,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.093293,
        "energy": 73.24244,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.462,
          79.195091,
          83.432994,
          84.99792
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.05,
        "volume": 617380,
        "typical_volume": 537007.5,
        "trend": 86.667368,
        "fair_value": 93.035549,
        "relative_strength": -25.094536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.163975,
        "energy": 48.304803,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.042667,
          78.650909,
          82.918185,
          84.547116
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 80.12,
        "volume": 590728,
        "typical_volume": 540161.4,
        "trend": 86.289009,
        "fair_value": 92.886638,
        "relative_strength": -22.228505,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.680734,
        "energy": 32.820091,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.363333,
          78.361636,
          82.439624,
          84.124705
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 80.07,
        "volume": 2429756,
        "typical_volume": 641291.7,
        "trend": 85.954377,
        "fair_value": 92.697537,
        "relative_strength": -21.647845,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.04126,
        "energy": 25.503717,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.259333,
          78.308545,
          82.011394,
          83.723479
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}