{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a72fa181-8631-4214-84c4-4dded29a3902",
    "symbol": "AKAST",
    "name": "Akastor ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 50.579,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 13.254,
    "architecture_energy": 8.388,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.013,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.335,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.42,
        "rotation_up": 27.61,
        "upward_expansion": 52.84,
        "deceleration": 86.28,
        "rotation_down": 29.9,
        "downward_expansion": 25.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.052,
        13.037818,
        13.238133,
        13.210841
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 12.9,
    "trend_reference": 12.921892,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.001694,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.773839,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.197345,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.300595,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.10469,
    "excess_performance": -0.020304,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001694,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094319,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197345,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109523,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003006,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099383,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10469,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.529656,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1358116,
      "relative_activity": 1.265593,
      "balance": 0.529656,
      "dry_up": 1.279292,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056377,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.317578,
      "from_high_reference": -0.116393,
      "from_low_reference": 0.386073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.921892,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.773839,
      "structural_low": 11.501887,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.012576,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040335,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.14059,
        "worst_return": -0.088339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.110912,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.150007,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.228743,
        "worst_return": -0.148489,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.059034,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079072,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161677,
        "worst_return": -0.114323,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.017585,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04361,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.235928,
        "worst_return": -0.200758,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.169231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.13929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.036419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "return": -0.023198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.057658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.052202,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1100462.4,
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        "fair_value": 10.694144,
        "relative_strength": 1.567054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": -3.683942,
        "energy": 13.374499,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.74,
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        "typical_volume": 1029516.0,
        "trend": 12.714803,
        "fair_value": 10.723846,
        "relative_strength": 7.824264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 14.402374,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.98,
        "volume": 1637431,
        "typical_volume": 1048102.45,
        "trend": 12.822607,
        "fair_value": 10.748782,
        "relative_strength": 1.329967,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.938881,
        "energy": 9.612216,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.116,
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          13.205848
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.9,
        "volume": 1358116,
        "typical_volume": 1073106.7,
        "trend": 12.921892,
        "fair_value": 10.773839,
        "relative_strength": 0.300595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.254137,
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        "activity_lines": [
          13.052,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}