{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a730f481-7bca-4334-9192-8d127bde9844", "symbol": "603638", "name": "Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 75.31, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.821, "architecture_energy": 62.468, "architecture_maturity": 10.185, "architecture_confidence": 72.982, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.47, "rotation_up": 10.93, "upward_expansion": 14.36, "deceleration": 36.39, "rotation_down": 72.09, "downward_expansion": 85.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.715333, 21.295826, 22.24022, 22.276476 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.0, "trend_reference": 22.279417, "distance_from_trend": -0.10231, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.939971, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.877464, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.097473, "excess_performance": -0.054269, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.10231, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046953, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114829, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292901, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028775, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.097473, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.705148, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48290863, "relative_activity": 1.01321, "balance": 0.705148, "dry_up": 1.273025, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141954, "annualized_volatility": 0.647723, "from_high_reference": -0.288762, "from_low_reference": 0.173252 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.279417, "fair_value_reference": 17.939971, "structural_low": 18.389999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.033253, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.003201, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.274141, "worst_return": -0.226372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.057487, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.054057, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.161406, "worst_return": -0.315539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.071529, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.08234, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.121498, "worst_return": -0.415461, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 17.920442, "relative_strength": -6.137358, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.096645, "energy": 26.896191, "activity_lines": [ 21.142, 22.338794, 22.723768, 22.591175 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.59, "volume": 49928478, "typical_volume": 46405823.45, "trend": 22.243751, "fair_value": 17.927699, "relative_strength": -2.209273, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.987905, "energy": 35.170844, "activity_lines": [ 20.260666, 21.727759, 22.456471, 22.421234 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.0, "volume": 48290863, "typical_volume": 47661238.9, "trend": 22.279417, "fair_value": 17.939971, "relative_strength": -2.877464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.820841, "energy": 62.468055, "activity_lines": [ 19.715333, 21.295826, 22.24022, 22.276476 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }