{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7310786-5dab-4e6d-b085-c1f0365854be", "symbol": "R2HH34", "name": "RH", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 63.607, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.748, "architecture_energy": 40.153, "architecture_maturity": 42.116, "architecture_confidence": 45.99, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.42, "rotation_up": 57.95, "upward_expansion": 50.12, "deceleration": 50.42, "rotation_down": 21.33, "downward_expansion": 13.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.353333, 14.199636, 13.214238, 13.128043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.05, "trend_reference": 14.029667, "distance_from_trend": 0.001449, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.820192, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.356101, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.026317, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.335069, "excess_performance": -0.27802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001449, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040881, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.356101, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149769, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.140263, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.301302, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.335069, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.08412, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.08412, "dry_up": 1.068891, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066849, "annualized_volatility": 0.806629, "from_high_reference": -0.336638, "from_low_reference": 0.537199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.029667, "fair_value_reference": 21.820192, "structural_low": 9.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.048103, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.069524, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.253076, "worst_return": -0.399905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.203974, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.185304, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.299252, "worst_return": -0.47482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.081995, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.10583, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.004181, "worst_return": -0.204438, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.100746, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.13881, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029703, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.108586, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.155525, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.851863, "energy": 35.21273, "activity_lines": [ 12.754, 12.150727, 11.863905, 13.030839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 14.76, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1242.2, "trend": 14.403, "fair_value": 22.19282, "relative_strength": -14.796009, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 31.241131, "energy": 49.287671, "activity_lines": [ 13.422, 12.692, 12.083857, 13.05372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.78, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 974.2, "trend": 14.397333, "fair_value": 22.119615, "relative_strength": -15.642489, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 30.906701, "energy": 67.616102, "activity_lines": [ 13.947333, 13.175273, 12.315667, 13.078043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.9, "volume": 239, "typical_volume": 984.6, "trend": 14.401333, "fair_value": 22.05359, "relative_strength": -6.328073, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.683231, "energy": 81.526598, "activity_lines": [ 14.725333, 13.797636, 12.674333, 13.174989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.09, "volume": 1532, "typical_volume": 1039.95, "trend": 14.306333, "fair_value": 21.975961, "relative_strength": -16.297721, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.505377, "energy": 65.282389, "activity_lines": [ 14.704667, 14.006, 12.864571, 13.154903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.05, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 1132.85, "trend": 14.21, "fair_value": 21.898077, "relative_strength": -17.493214, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.309344, "energy": 45.324885, "activity_lines": [ 14.575333, 14.142545, 13.044286, 13.138366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.05, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 858.6, "trend": 14.029667, "fair_value": 21.820192, "relative_strength": -14.026317, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.747674, "energy": 40.153085, "activity_lines": [ 14.353333, 14.199636, 13.214238, 13.128043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }