{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a73429c5-2304-45b2-bb72-022c5ed89865",
    "symbol": "AHN",
    "name": "Athena Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.498,
    "architecture_energy": 32.665,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.557,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.161,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.12,
        "rotation_up": 20.09,
        "upward_expansion": 3.07,
        "deceleration": 54.04,
        "rotation_down": 47.53,
        "downward_expansion": 74.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.077467,
        0.079127,
        0.084914,
        0.087553
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.07,
    "trend_reference": 0.092933,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.246772,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.092807,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.24575,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -38.743352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.3,
    "excess_performance": -0.363706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.246772,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152584,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.24575,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.513933,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.387434,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.382469,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.3,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.294444,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 258775,
      "relative_activity": 0.635346,
      "balance": 0.294444,
      "dry_up": 0.403721,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.256044,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.151286,
      "from_high_reference": -0.611111,
      "from_low_reference": 0.4
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.092933,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.092807,
      "structural_low": 0.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.28,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032767,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 2.000036,
        "worst_return": -0.375003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.033336,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033454,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.666708,
        "worst_return": -0.538469,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.125003,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.150125,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.142876,
        "worst_return": -0.466668,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.166666,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120552,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.339298,
        "worst_return": -0.600002,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "typical_volume": 312201.05,
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        "relative_strength": -16.475376,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 81506,
        "typical_volume": 434078.45,
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        "fair_value": 0.09376,
        "relative_strength": -29.74151,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.848722,
        "energy": 40.556082,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.09,
        "volume": 298556,
        "typical_volume": 443116.7,
        "trend": 0.098667,
        "fair_value": 0.093739,
        "relative_strength": -19.918109,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.480668,
        "energy": 22.997972,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.083333,
          0.083273,
          0.088571,
          0.091548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.08,
        "volume": 48775,
        "typical_volume": 424232.0,
        "trend": 0.096667,
        "fair_value": 0.093534,
        "relative_strength": -27.60007,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.856985,
        "energy": 23.035779,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.082667,
          0.082,
          0.087667,
          0.090344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.078,
        "volume": 51632,
        "typical_volume": 422405.7,
        "trend": 0.0946,
        "fair_value": 0.093196,
        "relative_strength": -30.222014,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.866566,
        "energy": 22.729297,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.081333,
          0.081091,
          0.086667,
          0.08914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.07,
        "volume": 258775,
        "typical_volume": 407297.45,
        "trend": 0.092933,
        "fair_value": 0.092807,
        "relative_strength": -38.743352,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.498419,
        "energy": 32.665292,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.077467,
          0.079127,
          0.084914,
          0.087553
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}