{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a741f361-b45c-4fb0-9c71-4308dd592a8a", "symbol": "WDNA", "name": "WisdomTree BioRevolution UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.772, "architecture_energy": 49.194, "architecture_maturity": 72.76, "architecture_confidence": 57.885, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.36, "rotation_up": 46.93, "upward_expansion": 69.18, "deceleration": 65.47, "rotation_down": 26.3, "downward_expansion": 19.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.6922, 19.703309, 18.919981, 18.435677 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.174999, "trend_reference": 17.928867, "distance_from_trend": 0.12528, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.662897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288076, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.594917, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.19407, "excess_performance": 0.023178, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12528, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066691, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.288076, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184489, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035949, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039828, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.19407, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.975273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2252, "relative_activity": 0.675901, "balance": 0.975273, "dry_up": 0.620376, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039485, "annualized_volatility": 0.224936, "from_high_reference": -0.04745, "from_low_reference": 0.620742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.928867, "fair_value_reference": 15.662897, "structural_low": 16.146, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.013833, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.008923, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.183378, "worst_return": -0.076046, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.045957, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.044277, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.20934, "worst_return": -0.106773, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.086904, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.044489, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.261116, "worst_return": -0.087309, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.248898, "energy": 88.36652, "activity_lines": [ 20.090267, 19.3454, 18.468176, 18.074419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.59, "volume": 1323, "typical_volume": 3368.05, "trend": 17.7343, "fair_value": 15.628519, "relative_strength": 4.979497, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.408885, "energy": 85.238792, "activity_lines": [ 19.972467, 19.507673, 18.628886, 18.20074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.028, "volume": 2148, "typical_volume": 3262.6, "trend": 17.827167, "fair_value": 15.640301, "relative_strength": 0.998475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.469885, "energy": 54.496639, "activity_lines": [ 19.600267, 19.517582, 18.724871, 18.284204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.174999, "volume": 2252, "typical_volume": 3331.85, "trend": 17.928867, "fair_value": 15.662897, "relative_strength": 3.594917, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.772057, "energy": 49.194489, "activity_lines": [ 19.6922, 19.703309, 18.919981, 18.435677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }