{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a774798f-f936-4307-bb3b-57f32122b144", "symbol": "300382", "name": "Suzhou SLAC Precision Equipment CO.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.34, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -14.741, "architecture_energy": 29.663, "architecture_maturity": 37.012, "architecture_confidence": 47.72, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.94, "rotation_up": 19.43, "upward_expansion": 20.16, "deceleration": 67.29, "rotation_down": 62.39, "downward_expansion": 40.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.996667, 15.819273, 15.951143, 15.368516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.32, "trend_reference": 14.880333, "distance_from_trend": -0.037656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.807978, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212739, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.459985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.002091, "excess_performance": -0.00949, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037656, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021089, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212739, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231236, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0846, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021625, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.484375, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121868412, "relative_activity": 1.07442, "balance": 0.484375, "dry_up": 1.558935, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.21315, "annualized_volatility": 0.824961, "from_high_reference": -0.391674, "from_low_reference": 0.372963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.880333, "fair_value_reference": 11.807978, "structural_low": 10.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.027919, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.016281, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.135117, "worst_return": -0.118651, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.189757, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.194002, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.088477, "worst_return": -0.401749, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.304817, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.234263, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.11797, "worst_return": -0.320566, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 11.790028, "relative_strength": -10.45581, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.313196, "energy": 15.988345, "activity_lines": [ 16.638667, 17.067636, 16.301667, 15.577828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.39, "volume": 144439821, "typical_volume": 109440119.35, "trend": 14.921667, "fair_value": 11.790489, "relative_strength": -17.158781, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.496759, "energy": 24.665172, "activity_lines": [ 14.715333, 16.230545, 16.034428, 15.407333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.32, "volume": 121868412, "typical_volume": 113427204.45, "trend": 14.880333, "fair_value": 11.807978, "relative_strength": -8.459985, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.740673, "energy": 29.663241, "activity_lines": [ 13.996667, 15.819273, 15.951143, 15.368516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }