{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a77aa892-3150-4b80-9df0-55f15676e27a", "symbol": "6506", "name": "Shuang-Bang Industrial Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.424, "architecture_energy": 13.981, "architecture_maturity": 44.327, "architecture_confidence": 74.461, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.08, "rotation_up": 17.71, "upward_expansion": 40.62, "deceleration": 84.44, "rotation_down": 35.61, "downward_expansion": 32.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.937935, 17.155415, 17.350388, 17.027821 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 17.25, "trend_reference": 16.48558, "distance_from_trend": 0.046369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.487957, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.113769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.489827, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.173079, "excess_performance": -0.268293, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057722, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.113769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074301, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214898, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026223, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.173079, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.752224, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 412105, "relative_activity": 0.409084, "balance": 0.752224, "dry_up": 0.411464, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061614, "annualized_volatility": 0.259216, "from_high_reference": -0.143597, "from_low_reference": 0.212052 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.48558, "fair_value_reference": 15.487957, "structural_low": 14.515761, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.010417, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.00849, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.195965, "worst_return": -0.060966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.045236, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.018685, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.007833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020294, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009802, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.141141, "worst_return": -0.068376, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 40.625853, "energy": 26.020577, "activity_lines": [ 17.708913, 17.866808, 17.353393, 16.801494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.069021, "volume": 967148, "typical_volume": 985993.05, "trend": 16.176957, "fair_value": 15.462501, "relative_strength": -19.624803, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.267818, "energy": 19.003974, "activity_lines": [ 17.500869, 17.72754, 17.380412, 16.864131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.25, "volume": 440756, "typical_volume": 995380.0, "trend": 16.261794, "fair_value": 15.471371, "relative_strength": -19.886689, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.896782, "energy": 18.224282, "activity_lines": [ 17.39413, 17.61, 17.415435, 16.933359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.549999, "volume": 634037, "typical_volume": 1015372.85, "trend": 16.326449, "fair_value": 15.476035, "relative_strength": -21.456662, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.474462, "energy": 14.561293, "activity_lines": [ 17.095579, 17.383389, 17.373923, 16.951953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.65, "volume": 171113, "typical_volume": 999337.7, "trend": 16.397591, "fair_value": 15.47965, "relative_strength": -22.220987, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.196305, "energy": 14.166596, "activity_lines": [ 16.871268, 17.20417, 17.336077, 16.972827 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.25, "volume": 412105, "typical_volume": 1007384.0, "trend": 16.48558, "fair_value": 15.487957, "relative_strength": -21.489827, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.423569, "energy": 13.981436, "activity_lines": [ 16.937935, 17.155415, 17.350388, 17.027821 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }