{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a78ab3ba-4b18-485c-be32-c7b8e3075f0c", "symbol": "HXDM", "name": "Global X Intl Developed Markets Equity Index Corporate Class ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.167, "architecture_energy": 49.681, "architecture_maturity": 63.355, "architecture_confidence": 55.271, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.58, "rotation_up": 48.0, "upward_expansion": 73.78, "deceleration": 69.46, "rotation_down": 27.07, "downward_expansion": 11.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.539335, 66.368365, 65.225953, 64.14385 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 67.870003, "trend_reference": 63.03, "distance_from_trend": 0.076789, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.35532, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321577, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.498658, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.091333, "excess_performance": -0.029088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076789, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041147, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321577, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.091333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.206786, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 99600, "relative_activity": 0.991489, "balance": 1.206786, "dry_up": 1.102981, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026442, "annualized_volatility": 0.186243, "from_high_reference": -0.002645, "from_low_reference": 0.248528 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.03, "fair_value_reference": 51.35532, "structural_low": 56.639999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.009657, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.001212, "regime_survival": 0.794872, "best_return": 0.048536, "worst_return": -0.107014, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.034478, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.012826, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.090715, "worst_return": -0.020454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.065661, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.012902, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.15389, "worst_return": 0.021717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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45.657821, "activity_lines": [ 65.822, 65.753273, 64.478857, 63.564387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.480003, "volume": 101300, "typical_volume": 103245.0, "trend": 62.804, "fair_value": 51.181987, "relative_strength": 0.558173, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.578972, "energy": 41.598514, "activity_lines": [ 65.973334, 65.96091, 64.804905, 63.817011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.870003, "volume": 99600, "typical_volume": 100455.0, "trend": 63.03, "fair_value": 51.35532, "relative_strength": -0.498658, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.167068, "energy": 49.681258, "activity_lines": [ 66.539335, 66.368365, 65.225953, 64.14385 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }