{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a7b60c83-867d-428b-a190-f58b93a219a4",
    "symbol": "NIBE-B",
    "name": "NIBE Industrier AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 58.315,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 32.541,
    "architecture_energy": 26.563,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.879,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.032,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.22,
        "rotation_up": 55.14,
        "upward_expansion": 42.94,
        "deceleration": 49.6,
        "rotation_down": 22.45,
        "downward_expansion": 12.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.241333,
        37.301454,
        37.789944,
        37.774726
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 40.139999,
    "trend_reference": 37.554309,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068852,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 46.422701,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.135337,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.001097,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.100693,
    "excess_performance": 0.039199,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068852,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018653,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135337,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041731,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040011,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038952,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100693,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.540561,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29999834,
      "relative_activity": 0.965907,
      "balance": 0.540561,
      "dry_up": 0.872468,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056156,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.307821,
      "from_high_reference": -0.138232,
      "from_low_reference": 0.297485
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.554309,
      "fair_value_reference": 46.422701,
      "structural_low": 31.650472,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.08912,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049379,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.19375,
        "worst_return": -0.180209,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.050615,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.121311,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.339773,
        "worst_return": -0.117749,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.106656,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.094233,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.084416,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.198,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133633,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.184212,
        "worst_return": -0.211787,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.133374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.190338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.039676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.055571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.226777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.079613,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 35404789.8,
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        "relative_strength": -9.861305,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.109009,
        "energy": 20.497702,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.18,
        "volume": 23846958,
        "typical_volume": 33829972.65,
        "trend": 37.373527,
        "fair_value": 47.049553,
        "relative_strength": -9.414334,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -13.922947,
        "energy": 14.141581,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.139999,
        "volume": 25161666,
        "typical_volume": 32890168.15,
        "trend": 37.45074,
        "fair_value": 46.716479,
        "relative_strength": -7.648183,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.858499,
        "energy": 4.638826,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.086666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.139999,
        "volume": 29999834,
        "typical_volume": 31058705.8,
        "trend": 37.554309,
        "fair_value": 46.422701,
        "relative_strength": -4.001097,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.540933,
        "energy": 26.563001,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}