{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a7b9e8df-0145-491b-aa5a-04e413f25112",
    "symbol": "CHINE",
    "name": "BNP PARIBAS EASY - MSCI China Min TE UCITS ETF EUR Acculumation",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 82.223,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -2.796,
    "architecture_energy": 19.627,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.939,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.43,
        "rotation_up": 43.68,
        "upward_expansion": 27.51,
        "deceleration": 41.27,
        "rotation_down": 15.46,
        "downward_expansion": 50.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        6.921603,
        6.988545
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.1652,
    "trend_reference": 7.12625,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005466,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.47039,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.107383,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.426747,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.056267,
    "excess_performance": -0.109578,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005466,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038121,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107383,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020809,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094267,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059546,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056267,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.877805,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81550,
      "relative_activity": 1.000436,
      "balance": 0.877805,
      "dry_up": 1.325655,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027851,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.171055,
      "from_high_reference": -0.132553,
      "from_low_reference": 0.118968
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.12625,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.47039,
      "structural_low": 6.4034,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.004082,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010215,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.314604,
        "worst_return": -0.150741,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.038299,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034712,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.268034,
        "worst_return": -0.161934,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.031025,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.105387,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.095008,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.214603,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.140828,
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        "worst_return": -0.123085,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
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        "relative_strength": -10.372634,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 89434.95,
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        "fair_value": 6.459943,
        "relative_strength": -10.879195,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.629407,
        "energy": 53.54138,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.730087,
          6.769991,
          6.899568,
          7.011266
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.907,
        "volume": 121512,
        "typical_volume": 90465.65,
        "trend": 7.167537,
        "fair_value": 6.46121,
        "relative_strength": -9.510774,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.576819,
        "energy": 33.472113,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.79768,
          6.784244,
          6.892352,
          6.993171
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.0777,
        "volume": 114449,
        "typical_volume": 89554.25,
        "trend": 7.147057,
        "fair_value": 6.464381,
        "relative_strength": -8.581818,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.063116,
        "energy": 20.1632,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.912,
          6.833176,
          6.902148,
          6.987375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.1652,
        "volume": 81550,
        "typical_volume": 81514.45,
        "trend": 7.12625,
        "fair_value": 6.47039,
        "relative_strength": -9.426747,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.796117,
        "energy": 19.626817,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.018493,
          6.896227,
          6.921603,
          6.988545
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}