{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7bb699b-966c-4f17-8132-feb9b6e70286", "symbol": "688183", "name": "Shengyi Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.996, "architecture_energy": 18.586, "architecture_maturity": 40.419, "architecture_confidence": 72.805, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.91, "rotation_up": 21.18, "upward_expansion": 42.7, "deceleration": 84.71, "rotation_down": 38.6, "downward_expansion": 32.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.481333, 113.957635, 114.861222, 109.51432 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 118.779999, "trend_reference": 102.937841, "distance_from_trend": 0.1539, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.853275, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.535148, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.56287, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.348241, "excess_performance": 0.391444, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.1539, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074809, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.535148, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259891, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.255629, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03455, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.348241, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.572008, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91497376, "relative_activity": 0.905754, "balance": 1.572008, "dry_up": 0.990759, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181689, "annualized_volatility": 0.720273, "from_high_reference": -0.228401, "from_low_reference": 1.480566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.937841, "fair_value_reference": 46.853275, "structural_low": 73.989998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.062601, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.04797, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.417101, "worst_return": -0.167123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.089679, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.053663, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.627737, "worst_return": -0.161644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.083986, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.104377, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.769863, 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"Developing", "return": 0.226712, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.469607, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.223297, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.092266, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005807, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.122335, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", 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122.027998, 123.532908, 116.268297, 109.311946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.779999, "volume": 96160832, "typical_volume": 97771051.15, "trend": 102.364175, "fair_value": 45.633367, "relative_strength": 7.984145, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.226834, "energy": 16.007142, "activity_lines": [ 112.302665, 119.059738, 115.249557, 108.949956 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.5, "volume": 96328673, "typical_volume": 99774949.85, "trend": 102.168175, "fair_value": 46.162745, "relative_strength": 3.989641, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.286258, "energy": 18.322601, "activity_lines": [ 104.598666, 114.178834, 113.931961, 108.44259 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 118.779999, "volume": 91497376, "typical_volume": 101017863.25, "trend": 102.937841, "fair_value": 46.853275, "relative_strength": 25.56287, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.995537, "energy": 18.586104, "activity_lines": [ 107.481333, 113.957635, 114.861222, 109.51432 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }