{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7c25127-3333-4e9b-883b-63aa49e4e709", "symbol": "CMPR", "name": "Cimpress NV", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.688, "architecture_energy": 35.277, "architecture_maturity": 28.602, "architecture_confidence": 70.945, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.63, "rotation_up": 46.52, "upward_expansion": 75.08, "deceleration": 65.96, "rotation_down": 22.16, "downward_expansion": 4.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.021333, 96.824909, 94.755333, 90.513763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 95.35, "trend_reference": 85.467, "distance_from_trend": 0.115635, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.113654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.304134, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.980124, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.260576, "excess_performance": 0.073123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115635, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111106, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.304134, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005061, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.089801, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094481, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.260576, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.257492, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1077978, "relative_activity": 1.190115, "balance": 1.257492, "dry_up": 0.96146, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105322, "annualized_volatility": 0.339747, "from_high_reference": -0.105325, "from_low_reference": 0.754693 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.467, "fair_value_reference": 73.113654, "structural_low": 67.415, "invalidation": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 99.73, "volume": 1069319, "typical_volume": 853497.1, "trend": 81.862333, "fair_value": 72.335128, "relative_strength": 17.467191, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.689976, "energy": 39.719173, "activity_lines": [ 94.916, 94.425818, 90.534524, 86.562925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 102.85, "volume": 597379, "typical_volume": 849609.2, "trend": 82.857667, "fair_value": 72.588205, "relative_strength": 25.001834, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.602974, "energy": 52.487433, "activity_lines": [ 98.326667, 95.953818, 92.189286, 87.916968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.78, "volume": 631243, "typical_volume": 855900.05, "trend": 83.810333, "fair_value": 72.782244, "relative_strength": 19.658761, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.166106, "energy": 49.373283, "activity_lines": [ 99.116, 96.356727, 93.219286, 88.879699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.7, "volume": 1176871, "typical_volume": 889847.8, "trend": 84.911667, "fair_value": 72.955385, "relative_strength": 19.220765, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.322822, "energy": 44.45539, "activity_lines": [ 99.35, 96.861818, 94.212667, 89.840323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 95.35, "volume": 1077978, "typical_volume": 905776.7, "trend": 85.467, "fair_value": 73.113654, "relative_strength": 8.980124, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.687616, "energy": 35.277224, "activity_lines": [ 98.021333, 96.824909, 94.755333, 90.513763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }