{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7d9392f-7a53-494d-bc92-0530513cbe51", "symbol": "BIDD", "name": "ISHARES INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ACTIVE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.196, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.794, "architecture_energy": 37.219, "architecture_maturity": 25.17, "architecture_confidence": 63.334, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.93, "rotation_up": 44.33, "upward_expansion": 75.16, "deceleration": 64.66, "rotation_down": 25.19, "downward_expansion": 4.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.02778, 29.93047, 29.71436, 29.316083 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 30.7223, "trend_reference": 28.93935, "distance_from_trend": 0.06161, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.202378, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1725, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.396508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.057195, "excess_performance": -0.06843, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06161, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037835, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.1725, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015173, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013965, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004455, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.057195, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.264666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 215405, "relative_activity": 1.24006, "balance": 1.264666, "dry_up": 0.869373, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030404, "annualized_volatility": 0.190298, "from_high_reference": -0.004139, "from_low_reference": 0.241162 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.93935, "fair_value_reference": 26.202378, "structural_low": 25.887064, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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29.223454, 28.928397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 29.9652, "volume": 126706, "typical_volume": 196251.9, "trend": 28.605088, "fair_value": 26.032287, "relative_strength": -1.506478, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.219731, "energy": 38.760139, "activity_lines": [ 29.943217, 29.881049, 29.337508, 29.023206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.345, "volume": 104536, "typical_volume": 183893.1, "trend": 28.6897, "fair_value": 26.070364, "relative_strength": -2.002857, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.816534, "energy": 23.467861, "activity_lines": [ 29.71172, 29.799835, 29.390296, 29.070942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.33, "volume": 189054, "typical_volume": 182752.3, "trend": 28.760139, "fair_value": 26.107406, "relative_strength": -1.4528, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.187899, "energy": 18.745507, "activity_lines": [ 29.531707, 29.720833, 29.44232, 29.112252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.04, "volume": 95064, "typical_volume": 172198.05, "trend": 28.842773, "fair_value": 26.151592, "relative_strength": -0.192035, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.954132, "energy": 23.147349, "activity_lines": [ 29.679027, 29.767386, 29.552956, 29.194823 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.7223, "volume": 215405, "typical_volume": 173705.3, "trend": 28.93935, "fair_value": 26.202378, "relative_strength": -1.396508, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.794231, "energy": 37.219237, "activity_lines": [ 30.02778, 29.93047, 29.71436, 29.316083 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }