{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a7d95523-4405-46b7-a7b2-55f5aeb5da21",
    "symbol": "CALY",
    "name": "Callaway Golf Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.584,
    "architecture_energy": 33.839,
    "architecture_maturity": 71.433,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.723,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.33,
        "rotation_up": 39.73,
        "upward_expansion": 63.36,
        "deceleration": 67.42,
        "rotation_down": 23.97,
        "downward_expansion": 15.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.228667,
        18.289091,
        17.401381,
        16.59228
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.59,
    "trend_reference": 15.718333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.119075,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.094231,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.454412,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.120071,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.171885,
    "excess_performance": 0.046261,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119075,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153357,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.454412,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019915,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171201,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.238152,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171885,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.744225,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13610973,
      "relative_activity": 1.138522,
      "balance": 1.744225,
      "dry_up": 0.876048,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.101349,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.5591,
      "from_high_reference": -0.132643,
      "from_low_reference": 1.19875
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.718333,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.094231,
      "structural_low": 12.26,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.004572,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003094,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.234392,
        "worst_return": -0.137242,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.000195,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.307014,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.073766,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.325912,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.596166,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "relative_strength": 30.750572,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 12381710.1,
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        "relative_strength": 38.278829,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 75.829865,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12195610.8,
        "trend": 15.366333,
        "fair_value": 12.093974,
        "relative_strength": 29.168536,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.716748,
        "energy": 48.54955,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.619333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.46,
        "volume": 9011819,
        "typical_volume": 11973134.1,
        "trend": 15.591,
        "fair_value": 12.089167,
        "relative_strength": 28.385562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.643344,
        "energy": 43.556425,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.542667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.59,
        "volume": 13610973,
        "typical_volume": 11954953.25,
        "trend": 15.718333,
        "fair_value": 12.094231,
        "relative_strength": 17.120071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.584053,
        "energy": 33.838876,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}