{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7da472c-b622-41b9-a998-7dc5a1012258", "symbol": "HUSV", "name": "FIRST TR EXCHANGE-TRADED FD III HORIZON MANAGED VOLATILITY DOMESTIC", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.7, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.602, "architecture_energy": 80.9, "architecture_maturity": 14.253, "architecture_confidence": 65.509, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.59, "rotation_up": 82.33, "upward_expansion": 95.51, "deceleration": 39.24, "rotation_down": 9.29, "downward_expansion": 17.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.9894, 40.482764, 39.894803, 39.649129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 41.5585, "trend_reference": 39.460498, "distance_from_trend": 0.053167, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.82035, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128683, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.678162, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.046891, "excess_performance": -0.078734, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053167, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012488, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.128683, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062252, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070188, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046891, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.387022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31384, "relative_activity": 0.833003, "balance": 3.387022, "dry_up": 2.390377, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021838, "annualized_volatility": 0.109917, "from_high_reference": -0.007203, "from_low_reference": 0.107896 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.460498, "fair_value_reference": 36.82035, "structural_low": 37.76, "invalidation": 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39.106177, 39.100994, 39.030892, 39.073719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 40.3535, "volume": 14962, "typical_volume": 30317.0, "trend": 39.108275, "fair_value": 36.525646, "relative_strength": -6.334408, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.001028, "energy": 46.363693, "activity_lines": [ 39.528735, 39.338217, 39.149979, 39.157977 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.062, "volume": 18960, "typical_volume": 23737.45, "trend": 39.158286, "fair_value": 36.580637, "relative_strength": -7.943408, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.933019, "energy": 54.391498, "activity_lines": [ 39.756688, 39.495698, 39.237466, 39.219507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.42, "volume": 18505, "typical_volume": 23321.35, "trend": 39.221526, "fair_value": 36.634427, "relative_strength": -5.384301, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.703652, "energy": 68.619756, "activity_lines": [ 40.052063, 39.699477, 39.3575, 39.300908 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.7155, "volume": 59092, "typical_volume": 25393.3, "trend": 39.283879, "fair_value": 36.692382, "relative_strength": -3.871979, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.432415, "energy": 74.355956, "activity_lines": [ 40.370033, 39.922085, 39.506079, 39.397294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.0, "volume": 251256, "typical_volume": 36909.4, "trend": 39.371178, "fair_value": 36.75542, "relative_strength": -3.968857, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.309493, "energy": 74.945242, "activity_lines": [ 40.639967, 40.162676, 39.678265, 39.508011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.5585, "volume": 31384, "typical_volume": 37675.75, "trend": 39.460498, "fair_value": 36.82035, "relative_strength": -5.678162, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.601704, "energy": 80.900329, "activity_lines": [ 40.9894, 40.482764, 39.894803, 39.649129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }