{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7e40067-0e0f-40e6-bdbd-0103e2e091c6", "symbol": "XTRE", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG THREE YR TRGT DRTN US TRSY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 71.712, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.787, "architecture_energy": 40.617, "architecture_maturity": 16.243, "architecture_confidence": 90.887, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.47, "rotation_up": 18.74, "upward_expansion": 6.65, "deceleration": 44.69, "rotation_down": 52.64, "downward_expansion": 79.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.670971, 48.704593, 48.758866, 48.829116 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 48.7651, "trend_reference": 48.913454, "distance_from_trend": -0.003033, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.647149, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045404, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.046663, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.006372, "excess_performance": -0.131997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003033, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000679, "read": 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"date": "2026-06-12", "close": 48.820793, "volume": 61744, "typical_volume": 227743.55, "trend": 48.952532, "fair_value": 46.373395, "relative_strength": -9.359678, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.395587, "energy": 48.304368, "activity_lines": [ 48.750238, 48.809031, 48.909794, 48.943005 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 48.778124, "volume": 148168, "typical_volume": 230633.4, "trend": 48.950866, "fair_value": 46.407463, "relative_strength": -9.901831, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.495155, "energy": 32.085245, "activity_lines": [ 48.768371, 48.789289, 48.889298, 48.931753 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 48.970336, "volume": 245556, "typical_volume": 234450.7, "trend": 48.954304, "fair_value": 46.443826, "relative_strength": -7.063422, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.28341, "energy": 19.384973, "activity_lines": [ 48.84035, 48.809557, 48.888185, 48.933009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 48.73351, "volume": 225138, "typical_volume": 233661.75, "trend": 48.953098, "fair_value": 46.47985, "relative_strength": -9.19284, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.301153, "energy": 20.52534, "activity_lines": [ 48.812342, 48.791403, 48.865029, 48.918765 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 48.643835, "volume": 480467, "typical_volume": 252590.3, "trend": 48.948073, "fair_value": 46.512737, "relative_strength": -10.274112, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.001548, "energy": 30.979127, "activity_lines": [ 48.762751, 48.764443, 48.836076, 48.898812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.713582, "volume": 57684, "typical_volume": 241055.85, "trend": 48.941805, "fair_value": 46.546469, "relative_strength": -8.45785, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.232679, "energy": 29.33684, "activity_lines": [ 48.737505, 48.754783, 48.816749, 48.883684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.544196, "volume": 537765, "typical_volume": 258584.2, "trend": 48.928518, "fair_value": 46.579641, "relative_strength": -7.988819, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.051539, "energy": 53.511478, "activity_lines": [ 48.662945, 48.718128, 48.78488, 48.858031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.633871, "volume": 194783, "typical_volume": 259367.3, "trend": 48.918635, "fair_value": 46.612517, "relative_strength": -8.495825, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.642902, "energy": 54.33012, "activity_lines": [ 48.633871, 48.699242, 48.764731, 48.839022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.7651, "volume": 203260, "typical_volume": 264287.55, "trend": 48.913454, "fair_value": 46.647149, "relative_strength": -11.046663, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.786785, "energy": 40.617105, "activity_lines": [ 48.670971, 48.704593, 48.758866, 48.829116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }