{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a7e76413-693f-4dd5-9161-0488a9655526",
    "symbol": "EAOM",
    "name": "ISHARES ESG AWARE MODERATE ALLOCATION ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 72.239,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.873,
    "architecture_energy": 39.962,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.741,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.735,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.2,
        "rotation_up": 42.27,
        "upward_expansion": 71.56,
        "deceleration": 89.53,
        "rotation_down": 28.04,
        "downward_expansion": 9.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.068,
        31.057979,
        30.950028,
        30.749884
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 31.4111,
    "trend_reference": 30.540683,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0285,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.152403,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156844,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.937821,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.03483,
    "excess_performance": -0.090795,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0285,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01409,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156844,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007637,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069378,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007148,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03483,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.218739,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2504,
      "relative_activity": 0.37971,
      "balance": 1.218739,
      "dry_up": 1.577565,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010922,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.079042,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.106196
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.540683,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.152403,
      "structural_low": 29.072492,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.013078,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015968,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.036361,
        "worst_return": 0.000663,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.020627,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033718,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.048602,
        "worst_return": -0.001196,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.038541,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069378,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.077072,
        "worst_return": -0.002078,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.100565,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.121156,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.123218,
        "worst_return": 0.077912,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.042317,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010186,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.079564,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030286,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4573.35,
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        "fair_value": 26.915012,
        "relative_strength": -5.144042,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 30.402568,
        "fair_value": 26.962756,
        "relative_strength": -6.063972,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 64.076929,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.9547,
        "volume": 29735,
        "typical_volume": 7213.4,
        "trend": 30.441278,
        "fair_value": 27.008771,
        "relative_strength": -5.101827,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.269553,
        "energy": 45.289231,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.0747,
          31.039867,
          30.82109,
          30.64253
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.7576,
        "volume": 598,
        "typical_volume": 7182.85,
        "trend": 30.466586,
        "fair_value": 27.053213,
        "relative_strength": -5.01185,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.185374,
        "energy": 31.061679,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.959384,
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          30.843197,
          30.662938
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.9031,
        "volume": 8776,
        "typical_volume": 7569.15,
        "trend": 30.499939,
        "fair_value": 27.100716,
        "relative_strength": -5.415083,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.628586,
        "energy": 25.089278,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.92376,
          30.984073,
          30.875512,
          30.6911
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.4111,
        "volume": 2504,
        "typical_volume": 6594.5,
        "trend": 30.540683,
        "fair_value": 27.152403,
        "relative_strength": -6.937821,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.872848,
        "energy": 39.961942,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.068,
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          30.950028,
          30.749884
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}