{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7fed08f-a188-4026-af15-c9e017c3483e", "symbol": "6265", "name": "Kuen Chaang Uppertech Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.231, "architecture_energy": 32.826, "architecture_maturity": 39.588, "architecture_confidence": 65.301, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.8, "rotation_up": 43.23, "upward_expansion": 67.12, "deceleration": 69.25, "rotation_down": 27.15, "downward_expansion": 12.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.580001, 52.418183, 51.358334, 48.925699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 62.5, "trend_reference": 46.433334, "distance_from_trend": 0.346016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.766667, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.330373, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 44.653111, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.560549, "excess_performance": 0.119177, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.346016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.28263, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.330373, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.378747, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.446531, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014464, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.560549, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.066814, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44817042, "relative_activity": 1.187497, "balance": 3.066814, "dry_up": 0.589195, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.137477, "annualized_volatility": 0.744172, "from_high_reference": -0.034003, "from_low_reference": 5.742179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.433334, "fair_value_reference": 18.766667, "structural_low": 32.799999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.01398, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.053905, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.304643, "worst_return": -0.180851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.336924, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.100948, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.917431, "worst_return": -0.26936, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.054393, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.041066, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.458716, "worst_return": -0.215488, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.243327, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.213146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.150628, "worst_return": -0.336027, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-06", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.044776, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2023-12-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.004785, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-01-05", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.235669, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.188285, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.109541, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.015936, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.274803, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041284, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.270936, "active": false }, { 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42.400002, "volume": 10251913, "typical_volume": 42082978.7, "trend": 44.768334, "fair_value": 18.144872, "relative_strength": 8.338332, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.583889, "energy": 15.271498, "activity_lines": [ 46.806668, 50.029092, 49.107143, 47.143011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.400002, "volume": 24663252, "typical_volume": 37460584.4, "trend": 45.5, "fair_value": 18.432051, "relative_strength": 35.526639, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.749054, "energy": 21.723894, "activity_lines": [ 49.126668, 50.580001, 49.913334, 47.828925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 62.5, "volume": 44817042, "typical_volume": 37740759.9, "trend": 46.433334, "fair_value": 18.766667, "relative_strength": 44.653111, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.230638, "energy": 32.826443, "activity_lines": [ 53.580001, 52.418183, 51.358334, 48.925699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }