{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a7ffd0f5-6843-49f8-b99e-9470173b7bfe", "symbol": "2073", "name": "Syong Shun Metal Co. Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 81.695, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.823, "architecture_energy": 37.5, "architecture_maturity": 7.305, "architecture_confidence": 74.912, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.65, "rotation_up": 53.3, "upward_expansion": 76.87, "deceleration": 53.87, "rotation_down": 13.89, "downward_expansion": 5.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.114505, 26.922458, 26.516081, 26.448715 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 26.75, "trend_reference": 26.320719, "distance_from_trend": 0.01631, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.6052, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03098, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.130694, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.072942, "excess_performance": -0.36843, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01631, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000348, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.03098, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064904, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.291307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083658, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072942, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.889892, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14562, "relative_activity": 0.68831, "balance": 1.889892, "dry_up": 0.773085, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06451, "annualized_volatility": 0.237184, "from_high_reference": -0.100228, "from_low_reference": 0.081526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.320719, "fair_value_reference": 27.6052, "structural_low": 24.73357, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.010961, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.058743, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.081744, "worst_return": -0.171285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.045139, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.130717, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.017799, "worst_return": -0.07801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.046051, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.178698, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.028144, "worst_return": -0.12514, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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21549.3, "trend": 26.163171, "fair_value": 27.658071, "relative_strength": -29.351361, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.174483, "energy": 15.800919, "activity_lines": [ 26.445134, 26.156425, 26.147859, 26.163649 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.700001, "volume": 31005, "typical_volume": 21399.55, "trend": 26.181255, "fair_value": 27.64574, "relative_strength": -26.080389, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.098777, "energy": 42.391705, "activity_lines": [ 26.922783, 26.475423, 26.276557, 26.2628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.049999, "volume": 11766, "typical_volume": 21787.85, "trend": 26.245634, "fair_value": 27.641417, "relative_strength": -23.224256, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.728275, "energy": 53.53933, "activity_lines": [ 27.352315, 26.814914, 26.435769, 26.383364 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.799999, "volume": 8089, "typical_volume": 21338.05, "trend": 26.29143, "fair_value": 27.621497, "relative_strength": -27.472916, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.922362, "energy": 42.300007, "activity_lines": [ 27.272699, 26.883023, 26.47663, 26.419129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.75, "volume": 14562, "typical_volume": 21156.15, "trend": 26.320719, "fair_value": 27.6052, "relative_strength": -29.130694, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.822824, "energy": 37.499726, "activity_lines": [ 27.114505, 26.922458, 26.516081, 26.448715 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }