{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a8188090-bb47-4fbf-8476-05d003e66879",
    "symbol": "PABH",
    "name": "Amundi S&P 500 Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Acc EUR HEDGED",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.955,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.718,
    "architecture_energy": 64.713,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.572,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.466,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.0,
        "rotation_up": 55.51,
        "upward_expansion": 81.25,
        "deceleration": 60.34,
        "rotation_down": 27.09,
        "downward_expansion": 10.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.953666,
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        35.399862,
        34.741329
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 37.049999,
    "trend_reference": 34.0668,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087569,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.372922,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261366,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.832292,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.117613,
    "excess_performance": 0.064302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087569,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02135,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261366,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021268,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028323,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035819,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117613,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.280553,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1904,
      "relative_activity": 0.183491,
      "balance": 2.280553,
      "dry_up": 0.920104,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017419,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.141899,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22253
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.0668,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.372922,
      "structural_low": 30.306,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.015439,
        "positive_rate": 0.766667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.766667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013921,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.064023,
        "worst_return": -0.053533,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.032702,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008951,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.131935,
        "worst_return": -0.059447,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.053033,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.018289,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.023143,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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          32.613986,
          32.834447
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.861,
        "volume": 7688,
        "typical_volume": 52752.75,
        "trend": 33.056713,
        "fair_value": 28.156693,
        "relative_strength": 3.133686,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.002308,
        "energy": 34.786043,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.387133,
          32.636854,
          32.701857,
          32.88716
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 35.030998,
        "volume": 12525,
        "typical_volume": 52463.6,
        "trend": 33.127313,
        "fair_value": 28.24858,
        "relative_strength": 6.414157,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.827938,
        "energy": 51.781308,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 52433.0,
        "trend": 33.20778,
        "fair_value": 28.338884,
        "relative_strength": 8.80496,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.9144,
        "energy": 73.605502,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.590733,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 35.629002,
        "volume": 9411,
        "typical_volume": 52221.7,
        "trend": 33.276533,
        "fair_value": 28.430759,
        "relative_strength": 7.577307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.425472,
        "energy": 89.714131,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 52230.3,
        "trend": 33.354667,
        "fair_value": 28.52367,
        "relative_strength": 7.928605,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.571371,
        "energy": 93.507984,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 35.563999,
        "volume": 1591,
        "typical_volume": 51657.15,
        "trend": 33.4478,
        "fair_value": 28.612702,
        "relative_strength": 5.54105,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.667862,
        "energy": 86.523026,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 35.370998,
        "volume": 958,
        "typical_volume": 50889.4,
        "trend": 33.516767,
        "fair_value": 28.696773,
        "relative_strength": 3.157101,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 48797.55,
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        "fair_value": 28.784159,
        "relative_strength": 2.755088,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 157,
        "typical_volume": 47366.7,
        "trend": 33.668967,
        "fair_value": 28.865431,
        "relative_strength": 1.631,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.916181,
        "energy": 53.789606,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.3986,
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          33.982226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.744999,
        "volume": 2473,
        "typical_volume": 45439.85,
        "trend": 33.7318,
        "fair_value": 28.952853,
        "relative_strength": 2.052505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.849772,
        "energy": 51.767651,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.4664,
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          34.116163
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.759998,
        "volume": 23790,
        "typical_volume": 44482.0,
        "trend": 33.8042,
        "fair_value": 29.036596,
        "relative_strength": 4.018297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.388919,
        "energy": 55.748304,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.565399,
          35.559127,
          34.769709,
          34.247015
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.595001,
        "volume": 25809,
        "typical_volume": 44596.6,
        "trend": 33.869867,
        "fair_value": 29.118599,
        "relative_strength": 3.413941,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.909049,
        "energy": 56.190915,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.596333,
          35.574836,
          34.927271,
          34.36255
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.174999,
        "volume": 3290,
        "typical_volume": 39897.8,
        "trend": 33.910267,
        "fair_value": 29.196258,
        "relative_strength": 1.716513,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.951666,
        "energy": 48.694922,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.472333,
          35.503927,
          35.032462,
          34.446753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.395,
        "volume": 7187,
        "typical_volume": 38347.05,
        "trend": 33.9688,
        "fair_value": 29.278847,
        "relative_strength": 0.67835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.539543,
        "energy": 42.345838,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.448333,
          35.473709,
          35.145819,
          34.542542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.049999,
        "volume": 1904,
        "typical_volume": 10376.55,
        "trend": 34.0668,
        "fair_value": 29.372922,
        "relative_strength": 2.832292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.718499,
        "energy": 64.712886,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.953666,
          35.748654,
          35.399862,
          34.741329
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}