{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a8215d26-d847-4126-bfd6-66ab6d519b9f", "symbol": "DD", "name": "Dupont De Nemours Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.911, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 2.045, "architecture_energy": 3.769, "architecture_maturity": 14.963, "architecture_confidence": 54.624, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.2, "rotation_up": 26.17, "upward_expansion": 24.16, "deceleration": 60.89, "rotation_down": 33.66, "downward_expansion": 26.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 138.580667, 138.588, 139.982374, 139.628639 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 142.47, "trend_reference": 138.776584, "distance_from_trend": 0.026614, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 102.68154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.387494, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.709872, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.032012, "excess_performance": -0.093612, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026614, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048797, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.387494, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11761, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017099, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163608, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.032012, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.561937, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10058328, "relative_activity": 0.704514, "balance": 0.561937, "dry_up": 0.600477, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064801, "annualized_volatility": 0.274336, "from_high_reference": -0.084202, "from_low_reference": 0.66063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 138.776584, "fair_value_reference": 102.68154, "structural_low": 124.695761, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.010622, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.015747, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.100029, "worst_return": -0.117993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008203, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.020789, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.111877, "worst_return": -0.236832, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.068395, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.050908, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.433963, "worst_return": 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"relative_strength": 1.854275, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.895084, "energy": 18.062957, "activity_lines": [ 136.831333, 139.254001, 139.962958, 139.386327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 137.7, "volume": 5836346, "typical_volume": 15402689.0, "trend": 137.799693, "fair_value": 102.060951, "relative_strength": 3.856093, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.627012, "energy": 15.630353, "activity_lines": [ 136.716, 138.636158, 139.857252, 139.413893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.0, "volume": 13108935, "typical_volume": 14999619.1, "trend": 138.341729, "fair_value": 102.351003, "relative_strength": 1.738537, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.953222, "energy": 18.064353, "activity_lines": [ 136.729333, 138.057455, 139.668435, 139.362299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 142.47, "volume": 10058328, "typical_volume": 14276975.1, "trend": 138.776584, "fair_value": 102.68154, "relative_strength": 1.709872, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.045075, "energy": 3.769088, "activity_lines": [ 138.580667, 138.588, 139.982374, 139.628639 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }