{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a83ffc62-5e73-4cef-92f3-c834c66b3f33",
    "symbol": "TSTE",
    "name": "TSTE Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 76.389,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.943,
    "architecture_energy": 29.832,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.139,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.248,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.73,
        "rotation_up": 31.29,
        "upward_expansion": 15.88,
        "deceleration": 44.63,
        "rotation_down": 43.17,
        "downward_expansion": 66.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.3,
        10.316364,
        10.37381,
        10.38817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.9,
    "trend_reference": 10.424051,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.050273,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.088027,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107145,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -19.645815,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.067594,
    "excess_performance": -0.259919,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050273,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010868,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107145,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038408,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196458,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00076,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067594,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.143885,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6900,
      "relative_activity": 1.059908,
      "balance": 4.143885,
      "dry_up": 0.264977,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184108,
      "from_high_reference": -0.271497,
      "from_low_reference": 0.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.424051,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.088027,
      "structural_low": 9.9,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.055276,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010442,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.082707,
        "worst_return": -0.144144,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.285714,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.167507,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.285714,
        "worst_return": -0.285714,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.160958,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01016,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.160958,
        "worst_return": -0.160958,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.223069,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102893,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.223069,
        "worst_return": -0.223069,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.333715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.128788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.091667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047272,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037736,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 9.264114,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 51290.0,
        "trend": 8.069161,
        "fair_value": 6.756235,
        "relative_strength": 28.646532,
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      },
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      },
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        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 5095.0,
        "trend": 10.596165,
        "fair_value": 10.933563,
        "relative_strength": -20.614268,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.063706,
        "energy": 24.506258,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.433333,
          10.453105,
          10.455461,
          10.513764
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 10.2,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 4900.0,
        "trend": 10.578374,
        "fair_value": 10.952862,
        "relative_strength": -19.721859,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.291508,
        "energy": 40.084599,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.333333,
          10.415608,
          10.423861,
          10.488205
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 10.4,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 4465.0,
        "trend": 10.567249,
        "fair_value": 10.973753,
        "relative_strength": -18.673399,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.061821,
        "energy": 45.33972,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.326667,
          10.411245,
          10.414242,
          10.476697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 4330.0,
        "trend": 10.533197,
        "fair_value": 10.991573,
        "relative_strength": -18.475523,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.477299,
        "energy": 33.569354,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.366667,
          10.42,
          10.416128,
          10.472358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 10.6,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 4455.0,
        "trend": 10.538587,
        "fair_value": 11.00725,
        "relative_strength": -18.598516,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.439381,
        "energy": 8.899848,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.446667,
          10.447273,
          10.429044,
          10.476668
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 10.6,
        "volume": 24700,
        "typical_volume": 5490.0,
        "trend": 10.530846,
        "fair_value": 11.02169,
        "relative_strength": -18.79743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 0.892512,
        "energy": 14.274072,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.526667,
          10.470909,
          10.442989,
          10.48063
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 10.6,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 5585.0,
        "trend": 10.546795,
        "fair_value": 11.032419,
        "relative_strength": -18.714063,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.199792,
        "energy": 23.79309,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.573333,
          10.492727,
          10.457963,
          10.485092
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 10.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5470.0,
        "trend": 10.536282,
        "fair_value": 11.04191,
        "relative_strength": -17.021329,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.391788,
        "energy": 32.222553,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.593333,
          10.514545,
          10.473967,
          10.488524
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 9.95,
        "volume": 7000,
        "typical_volume": 5720.0,
        "trend": 10.50741,
        "fair_value": 11.045997,
        "relative_strength": -19.562897,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.35069,
        "energy": 29.981406,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.383333,
          10.418182,
          10.429095,
          10.4507
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 10.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5555.0,
        "trend": 10.480205,
        "fair_value": 11.051024,
        "relative_strength": -22.035386,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.511659,
        "energy": 68.703089,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.226667,
          10.342727,
          10.392165,
          10.417964
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 54600,
        "typical_volume": 8205.0,
        "trend": 10.486205,
        "fair_value": 11.059255,
        "relative_strength": -18.094622,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.859992,
        "energy": 37.713104,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.276667,
          10.369091,
          10.403432,
          10.419241
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7800.0,
        "trend": 10.475667,
        "fair_value": 11.067487,
        "relative_strength": -18.344395,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.490373,
        "energy": 31.037186,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.333333,
          10.388182,
          10.412897,
          10.420131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7175.0,
        "trend": 10.465128,
        "fair_value": 11.075719,
        "relative_strength": -17.511841,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.567904,
        "energy": 11.983913,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.396667,
          10.401818,
          10.420088,
          10.421701
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7015.0,
        "trend": 10.45459,
        "fair_value": 11.08395,
        "relative_strength": -15.955139,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.427911,
        "energy": 20.168467,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.466667,
          10.413636,
          10.425476,
          10.42395
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.9,
        "volume": 6900,
        "typical_volume": 6510.0,
        "trend": 10.424051,
        "fair_value": 11.088027,
        "relative_strength": -19.645815,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.94253,
        "energy": 29.831828,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.3,
          10.316364,
          10.37381,
          10.38817
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}