{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a848299b-475c-4740-9cb9-29d2c7389212",
    "symbol": "TPC",
    "name": "Tutor Perini Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.336,
    "architecture_energy": 74.535,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.105,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.1,
        "rotation_up": 76.38,
        "upward_expansion": 87.94,
        "deceleration": 45.0,
        "rotation_down": 11.33,
        "downward_expansion": 16.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        88.266,
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        80.194648
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 99.11,
    "trend_reference": 79.287762,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.250004,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.601703,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.567503,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 21.407188,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.189182,
    "excess_performance": 0.063557,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.250004,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062363,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.567503,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028938,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214072,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058997,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189182,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.499571,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3857347,
      "relative_activity": 1.21899,
      "balance": 1.499571,
      "dry_up": 1.787451,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083794,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.495063,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031183,
      "from_low_reference": 0.845806
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.287762,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.601703,
      "structural_low": 66.716541,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.024423,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080216,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.2,
        "worst_return": -0.183594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.283601,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.06445,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006078,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.388424,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.524759,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 34.337206,
        "relative_strength": -4.214103,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2841609.95,
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        "fair_value": 36.581105,
        "relative_strength": -2.22025,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 78.62,
        "volume": 2308959,
        "typical_volume": 2685443.75,
        "trend": 77.253334,
        "fair_value": 37.033606,
        "relative_strength": 2.401709,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.543833,
        "energy": 6.155011,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.597333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.77,
        "volume": 12684405,
        "typical_volume": 3096735.8,
        "trend": 77.847445,
        "fair_value": 37.536945,
        "relative_strength": 12.810414,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.673264,
        "energy": 29.965021,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.602,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 83.75,
        "volume": 3773985,
        "typical_volume": 3129073.0,
        "trend": 78.331238,
        "fair_value": 38.022395,
        "relative_strength": 6.951427,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.453526,
        "energy": 38.954186,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.014667,
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          79.217131,
          78.854083
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 99.11,
        "volume": 3857347,
        "typical_volume": 3164380.15,
        "trend": 79.287762,
        "fair_value": 38.601703,
        "relative_strength": 21.407188,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.335524,
        "energy": 74.534565,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.266,
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          80.194648
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}