{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a84ab2a4-cca4-4583-a09d-5c75c4865e88", "symbol": "IMXI", "name": "International Money Express Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.2, "architecture_energy": 89.229, "architecture_maturity": 29.135, "architecture_confidence": 84.028, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 8.36, "upward_expansion": 21.32, "deceleration": 37.32, "rotation_down": 79.69, "downward_expansion": 94.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.588, 13.298364, 14.12481, 14.572559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.19, "trend_reference": 15.034333, "distance_from_trend": -0.189189, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.876538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.277695, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.030675, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.216077, "excess_performance": -0.403531, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189189, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032083, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.277695, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17617, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.290307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.238304, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.216077, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.175721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1759741, "relative_activity": 0.760735, "balance": 0.175721, "dry_up": 0.830705, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071307, "annualized_volatility": 0.191317, "from_high_reference": -0.235737, "from_low_reference": 0.093274 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.034333, "fair_value_reference": 16.876538, "structural_low": 11.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.034822, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.001199, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.560345, "worst_return": -0.106864, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.238779, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.077527, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.427156, "worst_return": -0.227412, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.096732, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.072868, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.395407, "worst_return": 0.085577, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 17.032179, "relative_strength": -18.476182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.528708, "energy": 66.38348, "activity_lines": [ 14.102667, 14.402727, 14.90419, 15.131441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.03, "volume": 1530847, "typical_volume": 2319777.55, "trend": 15.259667, "fair_value": 16.960064, "relative_strength": -19.701811, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.448797, "energy": 71.618426, "activity_lines": [ 13.710667, 14.107818, 14.69319, 14.982452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.86, "volume": 2788692, "typical_volume": 2329971.45, "trend": 15.143667, "fair_value": 16.913333, "relative_strength": -27.397123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.670859, "energy": 88.720468, "activity_lines": [ 13.014667, 13.642545, 14.383905, 14.763118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.19, "volume": 1759741, "typical_volume": 2313211.9, "trend": 15.034333, "fair_value": 16.876538, "relative_strength": -29.030675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.199678, "energy": 89.228646, "activity_lines": [ 12.588, 13.298364, 14.12481, 14.572559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }