{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a854acbd-90a5-4759-a31c-982c8b5487a7", "symbol": "002791", "name": "Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.566, "architecture_energy": 38.506, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.922, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.74, "rotation_up": 27.71, "upward_expansion": 18.84, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 35.48, "downward_expansion": 66.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.858, 14.523273, 15.275762, 16.672194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.63, "trend_reference": 18.631333, "distance_from_trend": -0.161091, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.198673, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.445719, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.865682, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.36334, "excess_performance": -0.37074, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.161091, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127025, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.445719, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029488, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258657, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051755, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.36334, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.621632, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28670650, "relative_activity": 1.270546, "balance": 0.621632, "dry_up": 1.226432, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089867, "annualized_volatility": 0.406215, "from_high_reference": -0.41766, "from_low_reference": 0.19313 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.631333, "fair_value_reference": 28.198673, "structural_low": 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19.578333, "fair_value": 29.268194, "relative_strength": -34.90435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.645332, "energy": 66.766618, "activity_lines": [ 14.172667, 14.652, 16.278238, 17.848366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.35, "volume": 31007097, "typical_volume": 22990005.25, "trend": 19.335667, "fair_value": 28.95031, "relative_strength": -31.521603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.202477, "energy": 63.871917, "activity_lines": [ 14.256667, 14.465636, 15.931191, 17.511054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.39, "volume": 22034840, "typical_volume": 22278334.25, "trend": 19.039333, "fair_value": 28.707728, "relative_strength": -35.587181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.685312, "energy": 65.294055, "activity_lines": [ 14.025333, 14.185455, 15.542048, 17.127462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.17, "volume": 28988214, "typical_volume": 22382667.85, "trend": 18.817333, "fair_value": 28.474845, "relative_strength": -25.065882, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.714013, "energy": 45.861258, "activity_lines": [ 14.434, 14.307091, 15.369619, 16.877828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.63, "volume": 28670650, "typical_volume": 22565615.65, "trend": 18.631333, "fair_value": 28.198673, "relative_strength": -25.865682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.566234, "energy": 38.505939, "activity_lines": [ 14.858, 14.523273, 15.275762, 16.672194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }