{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a859b8f2-6433-42fe-9adc-dd90bbd8b6a2", "symbol": "MSVT", "name": "Massivit 3D Printing Technologies Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.751, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.909, "architecture_energy": 43.049, "architecture_maturity": 29.63, "architecture_confidence": 90.282, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.19, "rotation_up": 25.43, "upward_expansion": 21.17, "deceleration": 48.4, "rotation_down": 37.01, "downward_expansion": 68.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.8332, 0.824491, 0.918024, 0.964368 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.809, "trend_reference": 0.980333, "distance_from_trend": -0.17477, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.304157, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.648895, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.47714, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.17868, "excess_performance": -0.20758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024453, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.648895, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085703, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.184771, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180051, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.589173, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2696070, "relative_activity": 1.849483, "balance": 0.589173, "dry_up": 0.605482, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152135, "annualized_volatility": 1.149817, "from_high_reference": -0.669526, "from_low_reference": 0.240798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.980333, "fair_value_reference": 2.304157, "structural_low": 0.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.034281, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.044624, "regime_survival": 0.828571, "best_return": 0.360497, "worst_return": -0.342232, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.054866, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.102773, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.804552, "worst_return": -0.594635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.12766, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.11328, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.184282, "worst_return": -0.673621, "sufficient": true }, { 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50.203012, "activity_lines": [ 0.803067, 0.855345, 0.995857, 0.999241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.835, "volume": 384729, "typical_volume": 1368805.1, "trend": 0.968567, "fair_value": 2.409461, "relative_strength": -17.243837, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.937768, "energy": 47.482271, "activity_lines": [ 0.814467, 0.840818, 0.976162, 0.990856 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.871, "volume": 304530, "typical_volume": 1368461.6, "trend": 0.9745, "fair_value": 2.374842, "relative_strength": -15.265055, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.20756, "energy": 28.662803, "activity_lines": [ 0.840467, 0.839418, 0.959981, 0.984561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.83, "volume": 145218, "typical_volume": 1356948.05, "trend": 0.9775, "fair_value": 2.339257, "relative_strength": -16.659668, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.964457, "energy": 36.987078, "activity_lines": [ 0.843733, 0.832582, 0.939881, 0.975239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.809, "volume": 2696070, "typical_volume": 1457742.7, "trend": 0.980333, "fair_value": 2.304157, "relative_strength": -18.47714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.908556, "energy": 43.049449, "activity_lines": [ 0.8332, 0.824491, 0.918024, 0.964368 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }