{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a86f1b85-bbe3-495b-8c08-cf3f5606c94f", "symbol": "KOMPL", "name": "Komplett ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.306, "architecture_energy": 29.541, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.476, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.31, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 24.14, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 21.93, "downward_expansion": 58.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.009333, 6.775273, 6.95, 7.602688 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 7.46, "trend_reference": 8.879667, "distance_from_trend": -0.159878, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.117308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.26265, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.336239, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.457455, "excess_performance": -0.582448, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159878, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181447, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.26265, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039078, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.393362, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.457455, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.684677, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 645039, "relative_activity": 1.857041, "balance": 0.684677, "dry_up": 0.921219, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066199, "annualized_volatility": 0.397847, "from_high_reference": -0.512418, "from_low_reference": 0.247492 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.879667, "fair_value_reference": 10.117308, "structural_low": 5.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.044615, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.027168, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.364734, "worst_return": -0.268595, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.020797, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.039254, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.34186, "worst_return": -0.381982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.035778, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.047308, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.351039, "worst_return": -0.107143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 362100.15, "trend": 9.531667, "fair_value": 10.219231, "relative_strength": -44.125462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.867696, "energy": 57.823342, "activity_lines": [ 6.597333, 6.581818, 7.105143, 8.051355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.8, "volume": 114863, "typical_volume": 357016.95, "trend": 9.355, "fair_value": 10.183333, "relative_strength": -45.684022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.905441, "energy": 51.319628, "activity_lines": [ 6.710667, 6.596364, 7.014667, 7.875118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.78, "volume": 200246, "typical_volume": 347530.55, "trend": 9.107667, "fair_value": 10.148077, "relative_strength": -45.529848, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.804097, "energy": 47.528618, "activity_lines": [ 6.766667, 6.619273, 6.942762, 7.708989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.46, "volume": 645039, "typical_volume": 347347.75, "trend": 8.879667, "fair_value": 10.117308, "relative_strength": -39.336239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.306352, "energy": 29.541229, "activity_lines": [ 7.009333, 6.775273, 6.95, 7.602688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }