{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a8733ae2-f2c9-4dd5-9093-b6760e6aaeb5",
    "symbol": "001266",
    "name": "Shanghai Smart Control Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 49.958,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -27.377,
    "architecture_energy": 56.085,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.877,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.675,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.96,
        "rotation_up": 14.03,
        "upward_expansion": 25.29,
        "deceleration": 52.22,
        "rotation_down": 71.03,
        "downward_expansion": 52.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.578666,
        37.336909,
        40.682443,
        39.784923
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 34.59,
    "trend_reference": 38.367653,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.098459,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.59351,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253556,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.35835,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.050729,
    "excess_performance": 0.043329,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098459,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084946,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253556,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.383519,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033583,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.17836,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050729,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.046171,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22078758,
      "relative_activity": 1.296633,
      "balance": 1.046171,
      "dry_up": 1.064703,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.180153,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.752749,
      "from_high_reference": -0.383341,
      "from_low_reference": 0.311221
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.367653,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.59351,
      "structural_low": 26.379999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.08039,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.082634,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.08039,
        "worst_return": 0.08039,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.082826,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.29081,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.082826,
        "worst_return": -0.082826,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.216068,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.258017,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.216068,
        "worst_return": -0.216068,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.032525,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.280322,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.032525,
        "worst_return": 0.032525,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05904,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.093112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.147777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.21147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.121158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.06415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 20900187.75,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 26.885779,
        "relative_strength": 23.040573,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.849998,
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        "typical_volume": 19512827.85,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 49.330002,
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        "trend": 37.47832,
        "fair_value": 27.322953,
        "relative_strength": 24.464292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.999292,
        "energy": 49.784104,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 47.049999,
        "volume": 2422100,
        "typical_volume": 18849576.7,
        "trend": 37.98332,
        "fair_value": 27.450681,
        "relative_strength": 19.692039,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.29853,
        "energy": 41.3579,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 40.400002,
        "volume": 13179400,
        "typical_volume": 17776794.05,
        "trend": 38.332987,
        "fair_value": 27.532585,
        "relative_strength": 6.363905,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.670891,
        "energy": 28.458032,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.6,
        "volume": 17506817,
        "typical_volume": 17824208.15,
        "trend": 38.44332,
        "fair_value": 27.553064,
        "relative_strength": -8.564284,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.748501,
        "energy": 16.559977,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.840667,
          44.364573,
          43.166342,
          41.088232
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.629999,
        "volume": 19684195,
        "typical_volume": 17301801.8,
        "trend": 38.510987,
        "fair_value": 27.569269,
        "relative_strength": -11.575427,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.562637,
        "energy": 38.667171,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.278667,
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          42.205391,
          40.584147
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.059999,
        "volume": 13248261,
        "typical_volume": 16899863.5,
        "trend": 38.526987,
        "fair_value": 27.541202,
        "relative_strength": -11.637977,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.94973,
        "energy": 48.523347,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.031333,
          38.7513,
          41.216298,
          40.038922
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.59,
        "volume": 22078758,
        "typical_volume": 17027755.6,
        "trend": 38.367653,
        "fair_value": 27.59351,
        "relative_strength": -3.35835,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.376516,
        "energy": 56.084924,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.578666,
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          40.682443,
          39.784923
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}